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1.20.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Monday, January 20, 2025

SCHEDULE NOTEOaklawn, Mahoning Valley, Parx | cancelled due to wintry conditionsPEGASUS WORLD CUP COVERAGEFields Drawn | Pegasus Post Draw ReactionTOURNAMENT TIME$40 Santa Anita Feeder | details1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY FAIR GROUNDS WINNERFair Grounds | Race 5 | 3:45 pm ET | #9 Redacted (26%)LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXSanta Anita | Race 1 | 3:00 pm ETFair Grounds | Race 6 | 4:15 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHDoug O’Neill | Santa Anita | 6 of 7 entrants 5-1 or less morning lineDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Santa Anita | jockey Flavien Prat | 3 wins, 3 seconds from 8 mountsPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeff Siegel: What You Need to Know – Santa Anita | Monday, January 20, 2025

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1.20.2025:

Jeff Siegel: What You Need to Know - Santa Anita | Monday, January 20, 2025

Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 12:00 PT Grade: C+Main Ticket: 4-Running Spartan; 7-Crazy Cavalier; 10-Mr. LeasureBackups: none.Forecast: We’ll spread the opener, a maiden $50,000 claiming turf sprint for older horses. Running Spartan shows up in a seller for the first time and should greatly appreciate the softer assignment. Freshened since November with several back speed figures that are par for this level, the son of First Samurai projects to be part of a moderate pace and have his chance to stick it out with anything close to his best race. A healthy recent work tab should have him plenty fit enough. Crazy Cavalier, a first-off-the-claim play for D. O’Neill (excellent stats with this angle), tries grass for the first time. He doesn’t really have an obvious turf pedigree, but you never know. He should be quick enough to secure a comfortable second flight, stalking position and have his chance from there. Mr. Leasure, claimed for $50,000 last April, returns waiver protected and lands F. Prat. The. T. Yakteen-trained gelding will need to be a better type this time around based on numbers but that’s possible, especially in his first try on the lawn. He’s worth tossing in somewhere.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 12:31 PT Grade: B-Main Ticket: 8-Candyinthemorning; 1-Happy Chappy; 3-Topper’s Chieftess.Backups: 5-Harney Lane.Forecast: Candyinthemorning got a confidence-building win when shipped to Pleasanton last month and if she can replicate that performance in this restricted (nw-2) $8,000 for NorCal based runners she can score right back on this circuit. Nicely drawn outside and catching a very favorable pace scenario, the daughter of Candy Ride might be quick enough to wire a field that doesn’t have much early zip in it. On pure numbers, she’s an absolute fit. Happy Chappy and Topper’s Chieftess van down following nice wins, both accomplished similarly when rallying from mid-pack before drawing clear with authority in the final furlong. Both need to step it up a tad in the figure department, but will be dangerous if the speed types cave in.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 1:03 PT Grade: B-Main Ticket: 5-Touchdown Brown; 4-Leyas Candy; 6-Joint Venture.Backups: 2-Coolwind; 7-Taishan.Forecast: Here’s another spread affair requiring as much protection as your budget allows. Touchdown Brown stretched out to a mile, found himself on the lead, got brave, and kept on going to win a slightly tougher event at Del Mar in mid-November. He’s been away for two months since and is dropping a notch off that victory, not normally a positive pattern, but the barn can be quite aggressive with its claiming stock, so we’ll operate under the assumption that this son of Cairo Prince has at least one more good one left in him. Also, he’s better going long than short based on his numbers, so this is where he should be. Layas Candy has a few races in his chart that if repeated would make him the one to fear most, but he’s strictly a need-the-lead type and is far less effective when he’s unable to control the fractions. The son of Danzing Candy should have his chance to land his role as the controlling speed based our pace projection. Joint Venture is another that prefers the front end but might be reduced to a presser or stalker’s role with ‘Candy drawn inside of him. He’s two-for-two over the Santa Anita main track and that’s the main reason we’ll include him on the top line.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 1:34 PT Grade: B+Main Ticket: 6-Earned Not GivenBackups: 7-Lazio; 1- Noble Minded.Forecast: Earned Not Given is a lightly raced and developing sophomore fresh from a maiden $50,000 claiming two turn grass score earlier this month, doing so despite a poor break that he managed to overcome in a stylish performance. He’s protected today in a starter allowance company and seems quite likely to step forward again, especially if he can leave with his field. The son of War of Will improved his Beyer speed figure by 15 points off his debut run vs. tougher straight maidens at Del Mar and we’re expecting a similar leap today. The M. Glatt barn hits at a powerful 25% with repeaters, so let’s make this gelding our prime push in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 2:06 PT Grade: B-Main Ticket: 7-Crystal Proof; ; 6-Roses R Blue; 1-Greatful Attitude.Backups: 3-Lion’s Liar.Forecast: None of these are trustworthy but each has a right to win at this level, so we’ll spread this $5,000 seller that features NorCal invaders. Crystal Proof has enough early speed in a field without much zip to be a major player in a race that should offer soft early splits. This is the cheapest she’s ever run for, and the daughter of Idiot Proof should be able to take advantage of the opportunity. She’s a gambling number at 6-1 on the morning line. Roses R Blue is an older mare with eight prior wins, her most recent up north in early December. She lacks tactical speed but with some help up front could make some noise close home. Greatful Attitude, a close runner-up in the same race ‘Blue won, projects to be within range throughout in the second flight and have her chance to tag the speed. First or second in seven of her 15 career starts, the daughter of Stanford is a dependable sort with a big look if she can avoid trouble from the rail.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: A-Main Ticket: 5-Ms McWhinneyBackups: 1-Long Mayshe Reign; 6-Activated.Forecast: Ms McWhinney seeks her third straight score in her first outing since June in this starter allowance six furlong turf sprint for fillies and mares. Her speed figures are rising, her turn of foot explosive, and this daughter of American Pharoah, claimed for $50,000 last April, is clearly a much better filly since joining the D. O’Neill barn. She earned a career top number in her most recent start over this course in a mile event, but she can sprint just as effectively, and the recent workouts indicate she’s returning better than she left and is fit and ready. She’s listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite and deservedly so.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: C+Main Ticket: 7-Liquid Spirit, 2-Princess Daddy; 6-Thirsty Mama.Backups: none.Forecast: Liquid Spirit won her debut in clever fashion at Los Alamitos facing maiden $50,000 juvenile company and returns in a $25,000 claimer with a speed figure edge is this abbreviated main track dash. This is a realistic spot, though we’d probably approach the race with a bit more confidence if she was being protected. The B. Koriner-trained filly looks like claim bait on paper and maybe that’s what her connections want. Princess Daddyreturns to the claiming ranks for the first time since she won her debut at Del Mar last summer. Like our top pick, this is the right spot for her and with the addition of blinkers combined with the class drop the daughter of Stay Thirsty looks extremely well-meant. Thirsty Mama is another class dropper seeking her proper level. She picks up F. Prat, has been no worse than second in three prior outings over the Santa Anita main track, and is a major player in a contentious affair.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 3:36 PT Grade: BMain Ticket: 8-Pura Vita Princesa; 10-Firenze Flavor.Backups: 5-Footnote.Forecast: With the benefit of three sprint races under her belt, Pura Vida Princesa stretches out to a mile and should have the proper style and foundation to easily cope with the step up in trip. Nosed out in a maiden special weight turf sprint in her most recent outing in an effort that earned a career top number, the D. O’Neill-trained daughter of Complexity isn’t really bred to route but should be able run this far, at least in her first try. We expect to see her on or near the lead. Firenze Flavor closed a gap in her debut over a mile without being knocked about and is eligible to step up big time with that bit of experience behind her. The outside draw does her no favors, but she gets Lasix and U. Rispoli and with some help up front could be dangerous in the final furlong.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 4:06 PT Grade: BMain Ticket: 3-Navy Man; 6-Saltwater Cowboy.Backups: 4-Last Call London.Forecast: Navy Man tackles much easier foes and returns to his best distance (dirt mile), so we’re anticipating a vastly improved performance by the once well-regarded gelding in this restricted (nw-3) $20,000 seller for older horses. This is a realistic spot for the now 5-year-old son of Bolt d’Oro, who was stakes placed on this circuit as a 3-year-old a couple of years ago. A repeat of his starter’s allowance two races back over this track and distance should be more than good enough under F. Prat. Front-running tactics likely will be employed with Saltwater Cowboy, who could get brave if not pressured early. He’s reunited with A. Fresu, who was aboard the son of Mastery in a gate-to-wire tally at Los Alamitos two races back.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 10: Post: 4:36 PT Grade: XMain Ticket: 8-Jubilant JoanieBackups: none.Forecast: At 3/5 on the morning line, Jubilant Joanie is a layover in this starter optional claiming turf miler for fillies and mares. Very fast for this level on speed figures and a winner of six of her last seven starts, the J. Mullins-trained filly suffered her only defeat during that span when she was second to undefeated Cavalieri, who is on track to become one of the best in the 2025 older filly and mare division nationally. She has no such competition to worry about today.______________________________________________________________________________

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1.19.2025:

Jeremy Plonk: Pegasus World Cup '25 Post Draw Reaction

Headlined by 2024 Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan (post 9) and 2023 Breeders’ Cup Classic victor White Abarrio (post 4), one of the most accomplished casts of 12 entered today for Saturday’s ninth edition of the $3 million Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream Park. The South Florida winter showcase race will see Cigar Mile winner Locked (post 11) the 5-2 morning line favorite as established by track handicapper Brian Nadeau.Horseplayers at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet on Saturday can enjoy up to a $10 money-back special on the Pegasus World Cup, PWC Turf and PWC Filly and Mare Turf if your win bet in any of those features finishes second or third. Also, 5 Million 1/ST Rewards Points will be up for grabs in Hit & Split promos for the early & late pick 5 as well as the late pick 4.Mystik Dan and White Abarrio (pictured) are looking to rebound after sprint losses as they return to two-turn racing. Locked competes third off the layoff after missing this year’s Triple Crown pursuit while sidelined a year from racing. He won the Cigar Mile in New York in visually impressive style and, too, will be stretching back out around two turns. Mystik Dan hasn’t won since the first Saturday in May, while White Abarrio was an impressive Gulfstream allowance winner before a troubled second in December’s Mr. Prospector Stakes.Pace in the 1-1/8 miles Pegasus World Cup figures to come from Saudi Crown (post 2) and third-time PWC entrant Skippylongstocking (post 10). Rail-drawn Mixto has been forward in most starts and could be hustled by Frankie Dettori to keep position. The 11-hole draw for Locked could see him used more in the early mix than previously expected in order to avoid ground loss. This does not project to be an overwhelmingly fast tempo.Note that $13 million earner Senor Buscador, runner-up here a year ago, trained insufficiently this morning for a return bid in the Pegasus World Cup and was retired.Saturday’s 13-race card (first post 11 am ET) also includes the Grade 1 $1 million Pegasus World Cup Turf and the Grade 2 $500,000 Pegasus World Cup Filly & Mare Turf. The PWC Turf lured 14 entrants (2 also-eligible), including Nations Pride – the 2-1 morning line favorite – for Godolphin and Charlie Appleby. The PWC Filly & Mare Turf has 14 entries (2 also-eligible), topped by lukewarm 4-1 morning line favorite Raqiya for Todd Pletcher.//Gulfstream Park // Race 13 // 5:45 pm ET // $3 million Pegasus World Cup // 1-1/8 miles#1-Mixto (Frankie Dettori // Doug O’Neill) 10-1#2-Saudi Crown (Florent Geroux // Brad Cox) 9-2#3-Newgrange (Emisael Jaramillo // Jose D’Angelo) 20-1#4-White Abarrio (Irad Ortiz Jr. // Saffie Joseph Jr.) 3-1#5-Crupi (Luis Saez // Todd Pletcher) 15-1#6-Stronghold (Antonio Fresu // Phil D’Amato) 10-1#7 Steal Sunshine (Dylan Davis // Bobby Dibona) 30-1#8 Vitality (Rajiv Maragh // Harold Ladouceur) 50-1#9-Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr. // Kenny McPeek) 8-1#10-Skippylongstocking (Tyler Gaffalione // Saffie Joseph Jr.) 10-1#11-Locked (John Velazquez // Todd Pletcher) 5-2#12-Power Squeeze (Javier Castellano // Jorge Delgado) 30-1 For more on the Pegasus World Cup Day card, be sure to check out the 1/ST Pegasus World Cup Wager Guide, which will be unveiled Monday and updated throughout the week.

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1.19.2025:

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, January 19, 2025

Northfield Park has a 15-race card with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 11 (9:40 PM ET)2-Say Sweet Things (3-1)-This could be an easier field than last time and gets a new pilot in Hunter Myers. Both thosefactors should help. Probably needs the right set-up and that could happen by getting a pocket trip behind #7 with Aaron Merriman. Using and will fade the 2-1 morning line chalk the 8-Queen's Castle.7-Forever Micki (3-1)-Gets a ++ driver change in Merriman. Wins at a 45% clip and when he steers for the Elson Miller barn. Has the gate speed to get the top unless something goes awry, and could make every call a winning one.Race 12 (10:02 PM ET)2-Brooklyns Carmine (10-1)-Comes off a decent start from post 8 and couldn't seal the deal in previous races and now moves inside. Did face some well-meant winners who are not in this field and will use with this post draw. Competitive sort could get a suck-around win.8-The Real Way (4-1)-Meadows shipper has been stuck with outside posts in the last 3 starts. Did beat better at Nfld in November and has the early speed to land on the point. Merriman gets the nod tonight and he won with the Bendis trainee back on 9-29, leaving from post 9.Race 13 (10:24 PM ET)2-Sawyer's Desire (2-1)-Finished 3rd versus better and now drops to a level for a picture. Should be no worse than 2nd early in the mile. Hunter Myers should have the veteran in play all the way around.3-Linnycalledfrankie (5-1)-Drops after outracing its odds to finish 2nd last week at 40-1. Kody Macey needs to provide a sharp steer because a close-up stalking trip could work at a nice price.9-Down On My Luck (7-1)-This 11-year-old still likes to compete and could pop at a big number but will need things to fall into place at the start. Might be able to tag along behind #2 and get a decent seat. If so, best to respect, drops to a spot to shine.Race 14 (10:46 PM ET)4-Our Majordan A (9/5)-Drops after finishing a distant 2nd and now regular pilot Greg Grismore is back in the bike. Should be a main player if the 13-year-old races back to the last start, but the short price is not easy to swallow.9-Poster Pets (3-1)-Has been dull in the last 4 races, drops and Aaron Merriman sticks. Three of the last 4 starts have been on an-off track and has not won in 14 races on a wet surface. Could get a decent early seat as #2 has some gate speed and this pilot knows how to win from the 2nd tier.$1 Late Pick 42,7/2,8/2,3,9/4,9Total Bet=$24Check me out on Twitter!

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1.19.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Sunday, January 19, 2025

SCHEDULE NOTES Gulfstream simulcast feed | Pegasus World Cup Post Draw | 2:00 pm ET Laurel Park | cancelled due to weatherTOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Feeder | details$40 Santa Anita Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $235,742 | Gulfstream Park | begins Race | pm ETPick 6 | Santa Anita | $52,051 | begins Race 6 | 5:07 pm ETCOAST-TO-COAST PICK 5Gulfstream Races 9,10 | Santa Anita Races 7,8,91/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY SANTA ANITA PICK 6 WINNERSanta Anita | Race 8 | 6:07 pm ET | #3 Che Evasora (32%)KEY RACESOaklawn | Race 9 | 5:22 pm ET | Pippin StakesSanta Anita | Race 8 | 6:07 pm ET | La Canada StakesSanta Anita | Race 9 | 6:37 pm ET | Las Cienegas StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXGulfstream Park | Race 5 | 2:22 pm ETOaklawn | Race 7 | 4:24 pm ETFair Grounds | Race 7 | 4:45 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHPeter Miller | Oaklawn Park | all 3 entrants 3-1 or less morning lineDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Gulfstream Park | jockey Junior Alvarado | 2 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third from 7 mountsPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeff Siegel: What You Need to Know – Santa Anita | Sunday, January 19, 2025Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Sunday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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1.19.2025:

Jeff Siegel: What You Need to Know - Santa Anita | $52K Carryover Pick 6 Sunday

Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 11:30 PT Grade: A-Main Ticket: 7-No Bad Beats; 3-Pam and Tina (Ire).Backups: none.Forecast: Although she was beaten at 40 cents on the dollar and saw her Beyer speed figure drop 17 points from a very promising debut performance, No Bad Beats likely will be a very short price favorite again in this six furlong turf sprint for maiden sophomore fillies. She’s clearly the quickest in the field, and with the switch to the lawn the daughter of Midnight Storm looks very likely to wire the field. A healthy work tab since raced adds fuel to the belief that she will bounce back in a big way. Pam and Tina ran better than the line will show in her debut and seems certain to produce a forward move. With a race under her belt and an extra furlong to work with, the Irish-bred filly will be doing her best work late, and if our top pick is unable to see out the trip, this P. D’Amato-trained filly will be heard from in the final furlong. We’ve got the best speed and the best closer on our top line and we’ll be surprised if the winner isn’t one or the other.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 12:03 PT Grade: B-Main Ticket: 2-Broadway Tiger; Morning Addiction.Backups: 5-Lady Sermon; 3-Eyelight.Forecast: Broadway Tiger plummets in class seeking her proper level and may have found her friends in this starter allowance abbreviated main track sprint for Pleasanton-based runners. In the frame in 14 of 17 career starts, the daughter of Smiling Tiger projects to be within striking range throughout, and with back speed figures that are sufficient to win at this level she seems the logical top pick. J. Hernandez picks up the mount, so you know she’ll get plenty of play. Morning Addiction has won over this track in the past and returns to a winnable level after being overmatched last time out. She might have the most zip in the field and if she can shake loose early, the daughter of Carpe Diem might roll all the way to the wire.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 12:35 PT Grade: BMain Ticket: 4-Canto Della Terra (Ire); 7-Authentic GraceBackups: 1-Headstrong Ways; 2-Sunglow.Forecast: Canto Della Terra brings with her some valuable experience from Ireland in this split of the first race, a turf sprint for 3-year-old fillies. She was a respectable second in her first two outings last summer in good maiden company and then wound up fifth of 22 (beaten just over three lengths) in a valuable restricted auction sales stakes at The Curragh to complete her juvenile campaign. Now in the P. D’Amato barn, the daughter of Kodiac attracts F. Prat and gets Lasix in her U.S. debut following a string of sharp training track drills that should have her plenty fit and ready. We’ll give her the bulk of our play in the various rolling exotics but will also make room on our top line for Authentic Grace, who was given a run routing in her debut at Del Mar in November and will much more serious today shortening up to a sprint while adding Lasix and blinkers. The daughter of Authentic continues to impress in the morning and seems highly likely to produce a significant forward move.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 1:05 PT Grade: C+Main Ticket: 1-Why Behave; 3-Soul of a Warrior.Backups: 9-Run for My Honey.Forecast: Why Behave seems likely to enjoy a front running or pace stalking trip from her rail post and should take full advantage of the situation in her first outing since mid-November. She’s back at her winning level, has won over this track and distance in the past, and shows a very healthy work pattern to have her primed and ready. She’s probably most effective on the front end but has stalked and pounced successfully in the past, so the option is there if necessary. Stablemate Soul of a Warrior was even money when facing our top pick in her last outing here in late September but wound last of six, beaten 14 lengths in a poor performance. She adds blinkers, an equipment change that seems a bit strange since she’s worn them twice in the past without any success. It’s always difficult to handicap with confidence when a trainer can choreograph the pace situation if he wants to, so our best advice is to tread lightly.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 1:37 PT Grade: B-Main Ticket: 2-Rose DawsonBackups: 6-Song of Shadows; 4-Ivory Moon; 5-Tom’s Little AngelForecast: Rose Dawson seems logically spotted in this $32,000 claiming turf sprint for older fillies and mares. A closing third over this course and distance as the favorite when last seen during the fall meeting, the P. D’Amato-trained mare shows a recent bullet breeze at Los Alamitos to indicate fitness, retains top rider J. Hernandez, and should be capable of delivering a strong late kick. She’s a stakes placed winner in excess of $300,000, so maybe somebody will claim her as a broodmare. The three listed above as backups all have legitimate looks if ‘Dawson fails to fire and should be on your ticket somewhere if your budget allows.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 2:07 PT Grade: CMain Ticket: 4-I’m Still in It; 2-Affair; 6-Blue Fashion.Backups: none.Forecast: I’m Still in It has just average speed figures for this level and has burned money in each of her last three races, so she’s definitely not one to trust, but the daughter of Empire Maker is one of three that appear capable of winning this soft maiden $20,000 extended sprint for fillies and mares and has finished in the frame in her last four starts, so if nothing else, she’s due. Affair is a “must use” based on numbers and could go favored. She flashed improvement when dropped to this level last fall at Del Mar over a mile and she backs up to seven furlongs today in what might prove to be her preferred trip. Blue Fashion drops to a realistic level and has grass numbers that are fast enough to win, but there is no assurance she can repeat them on dirt. She’s already had 11 chances and the barn rarely wins, but in this league anything goes.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 2:37 PT Grade: B+Main Ticket: 4-Triple Diamonds; 2-Frank Bullitt.Backups: none.Forecast: Triple Diamonds scored handsomely at first asking in mid-November at Del Mar, earned a solid number, and had the form franked with the colt he beat returned to graduate yesterday. The son of Sir Prancealot almost certainly will improve with experience, has today’s extra furlong to work with, and the M. Glatt barn has very strong stats across the board with this kind of runner in this kind of race. On pure numbers, Frank Bullitt is the fastest horse in the field, but his recent victory was accomplished on dirt at Los Alamitos. How he’ll run today on turf is a question mark, though it should be noted that offspring of Grazen run on anything. We’ll be quite surprised if the winner isn’t one of these two.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 3:07 PT Grade: BMain Ticket: 6-Cavalieri; 1-Alpha BellaBackups: none.Forecast: Cavalieri puts her unbeaten (in two starts) streak on the line while moving into tougher company into today’s edition of the La Canada S.-G2. We’re expecting the B. Baffert-trained filly to be up to the task. Scratched out of the La Brea S.-G1 on opening day Dec. 31 (she didn’t work back until nine days later), the daughter of Nyquist has looked fine in her two most recent breezes, and she projects to enjoy an ideal pace stalking trip and then have every chance to seal the deal from the quarter pole home. The one she has to run past is Alpha Bella, the likely controlling speed adding blinkers (she’s worn them before) and exiting four successive graded stakes races, placing in her last two since being shipped from the East. On pure numbers she’s a tad faster than our top pick and lands F. Prat, so if you think she’ll wind up the chalk you might not be wrong, though local punters might be getting a bit weary of backing J. Sadler-trained favorites so far this meeting.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 3:37 PT Grade: B+Main Ticket: 6-ToupieBackups: 1-Just Nails; 4-Lauine (Gr.); 9-Miss Lizzy.Forecast: Toupie won convincingly in gate-to-wire style over this course and distance during the fall meeting when capturing the Unzip Me Stakes, but she may have to employ stalk and pounce tactics today, what with the presence of the very quick Hamwood Flier in the field. No matter, the G. Motion-trained daughter of Uncle Mo has won that way in the past, so regular pilot F. Prat can assess the likely pace flow soon after the break and then pick a strategy. First or second in six of 10 career starts, she’s genuine, consistent, and versatile and just recently arrived from the East for a barn that can ship and win with the best of them. She’ll be the main push in our rolling exotics, though those who can afford to have some protection should consider the three listed on our second line for backup roles.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 10: Post: 4:07 PT Grade: A-Main Ticket: 4-Halone.Backups: 7-Ultimate Authority.Forecast: Halone annihilated a maiden field in her first try around two turning on dirt at Del Mar in late November while leaving her previous three race sprint resume far behind. The number she earned was at the graded stakes level, so anything close to it today makes her the winner right back in this first level allowance main track miler. She’s a bit late to the party at age four, but the daughter of Justify almost certainly will wind up being well worth the wait. At 6/5 on the morning line, she won’t offer much value on the tote but can be used as a logical rolling exotic single.______________________________________________________________________________Santa Anita Race 11: Post: 4:37 PT Grade: AMain Ticket: 4-FairlyfondofyouBackups: none.Forecast: This is a below average field of state bred maiden 3-year-olds competing over a mile on grass, save for one. Fairlyfondofyou has done some superior work leading up to his racing debut and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him compete in California-bred stakes races in the near future. First things first though, and that’s breaking his maiden, which we expect the M. Glatt-trained colt to do today. Bred for grass and distance (Mr. Big), he’s been given the type of foundation that almost assuredly has him sufficiently fit for a top effort, and with F. Prat taking the call he’ll more than likely get hammered at the window.______________________________________________________________________________

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1.18.2025:

Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, January 18, 2025

Cal Expo tops off the weekend with a 9-race card. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 6 (8:15 PM PST)3-Daniel's Son (4-1)-Went off as the 6/5 chalk last time and didn't cash a check. Best to respect, comes right back against the same and gets a ++ driver change in James Kennedy.5-KB Mac (8/5)-This will be the 4th start in town after shipping in from Yonkers. The last 2 efforts have been so-so but drops to a comfortable level. Should be a player but the short price doesn't excite me.6-Cut A Rug (5-1)-Dropped to this level, left from post 7 and was 10th at the 1st call. Did roll late to finish 3rd and could beat this kind if has less work to do turning for the wire.Race 7 (8:35 PM PST)1-Crazy Cute (3-1)-Has raced well in the last 2 starts winning the last time and that included 3 from this group. Logical play should get a cozy trip leaving from the rail.3-Ain't She Special (6-1)-Ryan Grundy steers the Luke Plano trainee and that should help the price. Knows how to beat this kind and can offer a solid return tonight.7-Graceful Horizon (8/5)-Lost by a nose at 2/5 last time and now starts outside. Could bounce back and deserves respect. But will be a tiny price and will need to take some air, so the trip might not be smooth.Race 8 (8:55 PM PST)1-Jeremys Alibi (2-1)-Another short price that needs to be used but hasn't been reliable. This 5-year-old has the speed to win, should get a good trip and could take a picture if shows the heart to finish off the mile.7-Lord Willoughby A (3-1)-In a formless race this veteran showed some gumption leaving hard from the 10-hole and was caught wide. The challenge is getting a smoother journey and the upgrade to James Lackey could make a winning difference.Race 9 (9:15 PM PST)4-Frewil Dakota Sven (3-1)-Nick Roland has one move to use so he needs to work the the right trip, and he picks here instead on #5. Raced evenly in last and finished 2nd. There is basically 1-horse to beat, will use and look for better.5-Winwood Jack (8/5)-Got on the engine last week and didn't look back. Luke Plano will use the same game plan. Figures to be a main player at a small price.0.60 Late Pick 43,5,6/1,3,7/1,7/4,5Total Bet=$21.60Check me out on Twitter!

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1.18.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Saturday, January 18, 2025

EXTRA INCENTIVES2 Million 1/ST Rewards Points | Santa Anita | Late Pick 42 Million 1/ST Rewards Points | Fair Grounds | Late Pick 4TOURNAMENT TIMEBeat the Host Week 3 | vs. Tom Quigley | details$100 Gulfstream Feeder | details$500 Santa Anita Challenge | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSPick 6 | Aqueduct | $28,039 | begins Race 4 | 1:40 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $183,121 | Gulfstream Park | begins Race 6 | 2:50 pm ETPick 5 | $97,874 | Turfway Park | begins Race 6 | 8:25 pm ETCOAST-TO-COAST PICK 5Gulfstream Races 10,11 | Santa Anita Races 7,9,111/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY LECOMTE STAKES WINNERFair Grounds | Race 12 | 6:30 pm ET | #2 Maximum Promise (22%)KEY RACESLaurel Park | Race 4 | 1:48 pm ET | Geisha StakesLaurel Park | Race 6 | 2:46 pm ET | Jennings StakesGulfstream Park | Race 6 | 2:50 pm ET | Sunshine Turf StakesLaurel Park | Race 7 | 3:15 pm ET | What a Summer StakesFair Grounds | Race 6 | 3:30 pm ET | Duncan Kenner StakesAqueduct | Race 8 | 3:39 pm ET | Busanda StakesLaurel Park | Race 8 | 3:45 pm ET | Fire Plug StakesSanta Anita | Race 4 | 3:58 pm ET | Cal Cup SprintGulfstream Park | Race 9 | 4:20 pm ET | Sunshine Sprint StakesFair Grounds | Race 8 | 4:30 pm ET | Marie Krantz Memorial StakesFair Grounds | Race 9 | 5:00 pm ET | Silverbulletday StakesOaklawn | Race 9 | 5:25 pm ET | Renaissance StakesSanta Anita | Race 7 | 5:28 pm ET | Sunshine F&M Turf SprintFair Grounds | Race 10 | 5:30 pm ET | Colonel E.R. Bradley StakesFair Grounds | Race 11 | 6:00 pm ET | Louisiana StakesSanta Anita | Race 9 | 6:28 pm ET | Turf Classic StakesFair Grounds | Race 12 | 6:30 pm ET | Lecomte Stakes | Meet the ContendersSanta Anita | Race 10 | 6:58 pm ET | Cal Cup DerbySanta Anita | Race 11 | 7:28 pm ET | Cal Cup OaksTurfway Park | Race 6 | 8:25 pm ET | Leonatus StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXFair Grounds | Race 8 | 4:30 pm ETGulfstream | Race 11 | 5:18 pm ETTurfway | Race 5 | 7:55 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHPeter Miller | Oaklawn Park | all 3 entrants 3-1 or less morning lineDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Aqueduct | favorites went 0-9 on the cardPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeff Siegel: What You Need to Know – Santa Anita | Saturday, January 18, 2025Scott Shapiro: Santa Anita Late Pick 4 Hit & Split Analysis | Saturday, January 18, 2025Scott Shapiro: Fair Grounds Late Pick 4 Hit & Split Analysis | Saturday, January 18, 2025Jeremy Plonk: Race of the Week Cal Cup Oaks at Santa AnitaFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Friday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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