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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, April 28, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

April 28, 2024

Cal Expo has an 11-race card with the 0.20 Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8 (8:34 PM PST)

1-Cut A Rug (2-1)-Beaten odd-on chalk moves up but the TM races can be a hodge podge. Did come close to beating this kind from post 9. Then dropped, was bet hard and came up flat. Luke Plano gets the call, and he can get the best out of the
7-year-old.
4-Frewil Dakota Sven (12-1)-Caught the leaders with a 57.1 back half and now steps up. At this price is worth using, and has shown the ability to win at this level. Nick Roland will need to be closer to the top earlier in the mile, if so could surprise.
7-Gorgeous For Real (5/2)-Drops to the level of its last win that came 2 back. Logical play will likely be bet down and deserves respect.

Race 9 (8:56 PM PST)

1-Cal's Hope (9/2)-Cal simply doesn't like to win and is 1-32. It's near the end of the meet and if there was a time to cash the top check this is probably it. Lemoyne Svendsen could look to get a close-up seat and get sucked around to roll by late.
8-California Rocks (2-1)-Came off a sick scratch with a decent effort and missed 3 weeks before that start. Luke Plano sticks and despite the post draw this is the program chalk. Shouldn't have to break a sweat to land on the point and is the likely picture taker with a well rated mile.

Race 10 (9:18 PM PST)

3-Cenalta Token (8/5)-The short price is not easy to swallow but this is a soft bunch. The mare has won 4 of 16 at CalX and may have met a beatable field.
4-Prom Queen (5/2)-This is another with a questionable work ethic that lands in a good spot to post a win. Should be a player but needs Svendsen to work a smooth trip.

Race 11 (9:40 PM PST)

2-Iconic Image (4-1)-Come off a flat effort when dropped to face this kind. Probably is best suited to win by racing on the point. It looks like Roland could leave and try to control the mile.
3-Cenalta Token (8/5)-This is the level for the Rene Goulet entry to shine. Jacob Cutting could work a stalking trip and look to sweep by off cover.
4-Prom Queen (5/2)-Went into the Jose Castillo barn on March 10 and since then has been in dull form. Drops to a soft spot, comes back in sequence, and could be ready to post a win versus this bunch.

0.20 Pick 4

1,4,7/1,8/3,4/2,3,4
Total Bet=$7.20

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