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4.29.2024:

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis | Monday, April 29, 2024

Yonkers Raceway has a 9-race card with the 0.50 Pick 5 rolling in Race 5, and it has a $10,000 guaranteed pool. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 6, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 6 (8:40 PM EST) 2-Moonshine Kisses (4-1)-Comes off a sharp gate to wire score at Plainridge and will need a top effort versus this kind. This veteran still loves to win and is in a spot to cash the top check. Does good work at Yonkers winning 15 of 45. 4-Sumomentsomewhere 5/2-Performed well in the Borgata Series despite not winning. Finished 2nd in the consolation after skipping a start. The Burke trainee could be ready to seal the deal tonight. 7-Boiling Oar 5-1-Has already notched 2 wins in 3 Invitational races and just missed in the other start leaving from post 7 last time. Has been freshened up a bit and should be ready for another aggressive try. Race 7 (9:00 PM EST) 1-Pound for Pound (2-1)-Got on the point last week from post 4 and took no prisoners. Drew off by over 8 lengths in a snappy 151.4. Will use right back versus the same kind and won't be worried the last mile was a fluke. Race 8 (9:20 PM EST) 1-Ben Hope Rulz 3-1-Bumps up after a sharp score with Matt Kakaley between the pipes. Wired the field after a tough opening quarter and now usual pilot Mark MacDonald returns. Could double up with a similar effort. 5-Speed Man N 7/2-This is a drop and pop situation, and George Brennan could be aggressive off the gate. Has enough gate speed to take control, or can benefit from a pocket ride to end up with a picture. Race 9 (9:40 PM EST) 2-Pretty Handsome 3-1-Winless this year (0-11) and has cashed checks facing $40k claimers but hasn’t connected for a picture. Could get off the schneid for 2024 with some class relief now facing $30k claimers. 4-Baron Michael 6-1-Posted a win 3 back at this level and Kakaley could work a stalking trip and roll by down the lane. Doesn’t win often but this is a spot to shine. 6-Dance on the Beach 3-1-Raced well in the last 2 and did hit the board versus $40k claimers. Won against this kind a couple of times recently and has enough gate speed to get a good early seat. Should offer a square price and deserves respect. $1.00 Late Pick 4 2,4,7/1/1,5/2,4,6 Total Bet=$18 Check me out on Twitter!

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4.29.2024:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Monday, April 29, 2024

EXTRA INCENTIVES April $20K Sweepstakes | win up to a $1,000 betting voucher 1/ST KENTUCKY DERBY WAGER GUIDE Free Access + Daily Updates  SCHEDULE NOTES Finger Lakes | opening day | first post 1:15 pm ET Remington Park (AQHA) | special makeup card begins 2 pm ET Preakness Future Wager Pool 2 | open through May 4 | Meet the Contenders  NOTABLE CARRYOVERS Jackpot Pick 5 | $176,026 | Parx | begins Race 1 | 12:40 pm ET Jackpot Pick 6 | $598,178 | Turf Paradise | begins Race 4 | 5:53 pm ET 1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY PARX WINNER Parx | Race 4 | 2:01 pm ET | #4 Peach Perfect (26%) KEY RACES Remington Park (AQHA) | Race 4 | 3:21 pm ET | Remington Park Oaks Remington Park (AQHA) | Race 5 | 3:48 pm ET | Remington Park Derby Remington Park (AQHA) | Race 6 | 4:15 pm ET | Remington Park Futurity LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Parx | Race 6 | 2:59 pm ET Finger Lakes | Race 6 | 3:40 pm ET Turf Paradise | Race 7 | 7:17 pm ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Anthony Ferraro | Finger Lakes | 4 of 5 entrants 4-1 or less morning line DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Santa Anita | Race 1 | nation’s highest-paying exacta ($240) and trifecta ($2,113) PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Monday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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4.28.2024:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Sunday, April 28, 2024

EXTRA INCENTIVES 10X Wager Rewards Points | Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 April $20K Sweepstakes | win up to a $1,000 betting voucher TOURNAMENT TIME $40 Santa Anita Feeder | details 1/ST KENTUCKY DERBY WAGER GUIDE Free Access + Daily Updates  SCHEDULE NOTES Preakness Future Wager Pool 2 | open through May 4 | Meet the Contenders  NOTABLE CARRYOVERS Super Hi 5 | $7,852 | Gulfstream Park | Race 10 | 5:51 pm ET Pick 6 | $10,211 | Los Alamitos | begins Race 4 | 10:09 pm ET COAST-TO-COAST PICK 5 Gulfstream Races 8,9 | Santa Anita Races 3,5,7 | Nicoletti & Siegel Picks 1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY WOODBINE WINNER Woodbine | Race 8 | 4:54 pm ET | #1 Adios Now (33%) KEY RACES Aqueduct | Race 6 | 4:04 pm ET | Memories of Silver Stakes Woodbine | Race 8 | 4:54 pm ET | Woodstock Stakes LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Oaklawn | Race 3 | 2:44 pm ET Aqueduct | Race 9 | 5:37 pm ET Santa Anita | Race 9 | 8:08 pm ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Chad Brown | Aqueduct, Tampa Bay Downs | 5 of 6 entrants 3-1 or less morning line DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Gulfstream Park | jockey Edgard Zayas | 4 wins, 1 second from 11 mounts PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Jeff Siegel: What You Need to Know + Prime Plays Video – Santa Anita | Sunday, April 28, 2024 Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Sunday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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4.28.2024:

Jeff Siegel: What You Need to Know - Santa Anita | Sunday, April 28, 2024

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6. * The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing. * * Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play. View Jeff Siegel’s Sunday Prime Plays Video ______________________________________________________________________________ RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B Main Ticket: 6-Abhita; 1-Fast Giselle. Backups/savers: 8-Spring Magic. Forecast: Abhita is a two-time winner over the local lawn with a late-running style that projects well according to the expected race shape. Back on grass where she belongs, the daughter of Clubhouse Ride looks properly spotted to return to winning form in this starter allowance turf miler. H. Berrios stays aboard and knows here well. Fast Giselle stretches out for the first time, lands the rail, and seems certain to try gate-to-wire tactics. If she’s ever going to get the trip, it should be in her first try under these conditions. ______________________________________________________________________________ RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B+ Main Ticket: 3-Frazzled Backups/savers: none. Forecast: Frazzled has been away since December of 2022 but returns protected in a sign of confidence for trainer R. Baltas, who trained her prior to his suspension. A strong series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs should have her plenty fit. Best when held up early and allowed to kick home late, the daughter of Outwork has the proper style for this extended sprint distance and picks up top rider J. Hernandez, who has won on her in the past. She’s the 7/5 morning line favorite for a reason and in a five runner field can be used as a rolling exotic single. ______________________________________________________________________________ RACE 3: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B Main Ticket: 1-Final Storm; 3-Known Idea Backups/savers: none. Forecast: Final Stormis aggressively raised to the first level allowance ranks after a clever score in a maiden $50,000 claimer last month. Claimed out of the race by P. D’Amato and retaining “win rider” K. Frey, the son of Blame has plenty of room to improve for his new connections and in his first try on grass is guaranteed an ideal second flight, ground-saving trip from his rail draw. At 4-1 on the morning line, he’s worth a gamble. Known Idea is likely the quickest of the quick, especially with the addition of blinkers, and is strictly the one to beat. Overmatched when a fading fifth in the Echo Eddie Stakes on dirt last time out, the J. Sadler-trained son of Goldencents has numbers that can win, is the logical favorite, and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. ______________________________________________________________________________ RACE 4: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: C Main Ticket: 2-Dramatizer; 6-Vulin Backups/savers: none. Forecast: There’s nothing to trust in this bottom rung $10,000 claiming dirt miler for fillies and mares, so the best advice is the leave this race alone. Dramatizer once was much better than these, but she’s never won on dirt and this nosedive in class raises red flags. She can win but offers no value at 2-1 on the morning line (too many question marks). Vulin is slow on numbers, but they all are at this levels. She drops to her lowest level ever and may have found her friends. ______________________________________________________________________________ RACE 5: Post: 3:04 PT Grade: B Main Ticket: 3-Dandy Man Shines (Ire); 2-Aligato. Backups/savers: 4-Crosby Beach. Forecast: Dandy Man Shines (Ire) broke his maiden five races back last summer at Del Mar and has been entered in nothing but stakes races ever since, including the Kilroe Mile-G1 in his most recent outing, a not-too-bad fifth considering the strength of the field. This drop to the second level allowance ranks is a long time coming, and based strictly on numbers he can beat a field like this, so let’s put the Irish-bred gelding on top and hope he can regain his confidence. Aligato moves up a notch following a strong win over this course and distance three weeks ago. All three of his victories have been achieved over the local lawn, and with some help up front he should be heard from in the closing stages. ______________________________________________________________________________ RACE 6: Post: 3:35 PT Grade: B+ Main Ticket: 1-Crypto Craze Backups/savers: none. Forecast: Crypto Craze exits a monster starter allowance sprint in which he pressed a blazing pace before understandably feeling the effects when the pressure was turned on (the winner, Man O Rose, came back to romp in his next start). Back in a claimer but above his claim level, the M. Glatt-trained gelding is certain to face an easy pace flow today and if he leaves cleanly from the rail could establish the running and never look back. ______________________________________________________________________________ RACE 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B+ Main Ticket: 6-Curlin’s Kaos Backups/savers: none. Forecast: Curlin’s Kaos looked hopelessly overmatched (59-1) in the Santa Anita Derby but really wasn’t embarrassed after being within range to the head of the lane before understandably weakening to wind up fourth, beaten eighth lengths, behind Kentucky Derby-bound Stronghold. He chased that same colt home in the Sunland Derby two runs back (fourth, beaten nine lengths), but in both races earning numbers that makes him a major player against this group. He’s back on grass today and graduated over this course and distance in January, so the surface switch is another plus. He’s 3-1 on the morning line and offers a gamble at that price. ______________________________________________________________________________ RACE 8: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: C Main ticket: 3-Uncontrollable; 5-Irish Wahine Backups/savers: none. Forecast: Uncontrollable closed with interest before running out of a room in a similar state-bred first level allowance sprint earlier this month. With a bit more ground to work with today, the daughter of Upstart may be able to tag the leaders close home, but to be truthful she’s a bit too one paced to trust, as her failure as the favorite in two of her last five starts would indicate. On a positive note, J. Hernandez stays aboard, so we’ll put her on top, though at 8/5 on the morning line there won’t be much value available. Irish Wahine was claimed for $20,000 last time out by an outfit that excels with this angle, so improvement can be expected. She was third in the same race our top pick exits and with just a small forward move could pose the most danger. ______________________________________________________________________________ RACE 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B+ Main ticket: 8-Disposition; 11-Upcharge Backups/savers: none Forecast: Disposition, with a useful debut behind her in a fast main track sprint, switches to grass and is likely to step forward in what appears to be a moderate maiden affair for fillies and mares. The daughter of Palace Malice shows a strong, healthy work tab since her promising third place performance that produced a promising number, so unless there’s a good thing among the first timers she should be set to graduate. Upcharge has trained like the best of the newcomers and probably is worth including somewhere on your ticket. She’s not quick type but is likely to make some noise from the quarter pole home and it would be a bit disappointing if she doesn’t at least hit the board.

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4.28.2024:

Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 Selections: Nicoletti & Siegel | Sunday, April 28, 2024

Sunday’s Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 selections are in for Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita. The $1 minimum wager has a low 15% takeout and we’ve got the selections of veteran local handicappers Ron Nicoletti at GP and Jeff Siegel at SA. Get 10X Wager Rewards Points when you bet the Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet. Gulfstream Race 8 #8 Hours in a Day #3 Ajaayb #4 D Hopper Santa Anita Race 3 #1 Final Storm #3 Known Idea Gulfstream Race 9 #2 Choose Joy #8 St. Pat’s Day #7 Sol Hope Santa Anita Race 5 #3 Dandy Man Shines #2 Aligato Santa Anita Race 7 #6 Curlin’s Kaos

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4.28.2024:

Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, April 28, 2024

Cal Expo has an 11-race card with the 0.20 Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 8 (8:34 PM PST) 1-Cut A Rug (2-1)-Beaten odd-on chalk moves up but the TM races can be a hodge podge. Did come close to beating this kind from post 9. Then dropped, was bet hard and came up flat. Luke Plano gets the call, and he can get the best out of the 7-year-old. 4-Frewil Dakota Sven (12-1)-Caught the leaders with a 57.1 back half and now steps up. At this price is worth using, and has shown the ability to win at this level. Nick Roland will need to be closer to the top earlier in the mile, if so could surprise. 7-Gorgeous For Real (5/2)-Drops to the level of its last win that came 2 back. Logical play will likely be bet down and deserves respect. Race 9 (8:56 PM PST) 1-Cal's Hope (9/2)-Cal simply doesn't like to win and is 1-32. It's near the end of the meet and if there was a time to cash the top check this is probably it. Lemoyne Svendsen could look to get a close-up seat and get sucked around to roll by late. 8-California Rocks (2-1)-Came off a sick scratch with a decent effort and missed 3 weeks before that start. Luke Plano sticks and despite the post draw this is the program chalk. Shouldn't have to break a sweat to land on the point and is the likely picture taker with a well rated mile. Race 10 (9:18 PM PST) 3-Cenalta Token (8/5)-The short price is not easy to swallow but this is a soft bunch. The mare has won 4 of 16 at CalX and may have met a beatable field. 4-Prom Queen (5/2)-This is another with a questionable work ethic that lands in a good spot to post a win. Should be a player but needs Svendsen to work a smooth trip. Race 11 (9:40 PM PST) 2-Iconic Image (4-1)-Come off a flat effort when dropped to face this kind. Probably is best suited to win by racing on the point. It looks like Roland could leave and try to control the mile. 3-Cenalta Token (8/5)-This is the level for the Rene Goulet entry to shine. Jacob Cutting could work a stalking trip and look to sweep by off cover. 4-Prom Queen (5/2)-Went into the Jose Castillo barn on March 10 and since then has been in dull form. Drops to a soft spot, comes back in sequence, and could be ready to post a win versus this bunch. 0.20 Pick 4 1,4,7/1,8/3,4/2,3,4 Total Bet=$7.20 Check me out on Twitter!

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4.28.2024:

Jeremy Plonk: Kentucky Derby 150 Post Draw Reaction

Fierceness, record-setting winner of the Florida Derby by 13-1/2 lengths, is the 5-2 morning line favorite for the historic 150th running of the Kentucky Derby. And if he’s to win, he could be the first ever to do so from post position 17, the only starting spot never to wear the roses. Last year’s Champion 2-Year-Old topped a field of 20 that was entered Saturday at Churchill Downs, including a pair of alternate, also-eligible contenders in the event of any race-week defections. The post-time favorite has won the Kentucky Derby 10 times since 2000, the last being Justify in 2018. Twelve straight favorites have finished in the top-4 of the Run for the Roses. Sierra Leone (post 2), winner of this year’s Blue Grass at Keeneland and Risen Star at Fair Grounds, is the 3-1 second choice in the morning line as set by track oddsmaker Mike Battaglia. He has authored the Derby morning line every year since 1974. Post 2 hasn’t won a Derby since Triple Crown winner Affirmed in 1978. Horseplayers on the 1/ST BET and Xpressbet platforms can take part in a $50,000 Exacta-Thon promotion on exacta bets Oaks and Derby Days, as well as a $10 money-back special on win bets that finish second or third in select stakes races Friday and Saturday at Churchill Downs. Also, bet $100 on Churchill Downs races this Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday and earn a $10 wagering credit for each day you hit the $100 mark. Despite the statistical anomaly of no winner from post 17 in Derby history, Fierceness arguably is drawn beautifully as he is poised outside of the other early speed horses in the field. He has a string of horses immediately to his inside that he has more natural early pace than and can begin to clear and cross over the field until landing position into the clubhouse turn about 5/16ths of a mile after the start. The Brad Cox-trained pair of Just A Touch and Encino in posts 8 and 9 would appear to be winners at the draw with their tactical speed. Their only danger is being directly inside the pair of Japanese raiders, T O Password (10) and Forever Young (11), given the history of international runners’ struggles to leave cleanly at the start of American races. The known commodities to the early pace are the favorite Fierceness as well as consistent front-runner Track Phantom (post 12). Fierceness jockey John Velazquez has 4 Derby wins, 3 of them essentially right to the front throughout. The wildcards to how fast or slow the early tempo may be figure to be lightly raced Japanese raider TO Password, who showed early speed in his two victories at home vs. lesser competition, and front-running Remsen and Fountain of Youth winner Dornoch, whose connections have tried to teach him to rate off the engine in the Blue Grass and subsequent workouts. But Dornoch, full brother to last year’s Derby winner Mage, drew the 1-post and almost certainly now must exert himself early under Luis Saez and quicken the overall tempo to avoid the cavalry charge that will converge toward the rail through the stretch the first time. Sierra Leone in post 2 either will be in receipt of heavy doses of kickback near the rear of the field or change his tactical style to be a bit more forwardly placed, neither of which is a positive development. Alternates on the also-eligible list are Epic Ride and Mugatu, who only compete in the event one or more runners scratch from the field by 9 a.m. Friday. That’s the manner in which 2022 Kentucky Derby upset winner Rich Strike eventually found himself in the field. // $5 million Grade 1 Kentucky Derby // Saturday // Churchill Downs // Post Time 6:57 pm ET US // Race 12 1. Dornoch (Danny Gargan / Luis Saez) 20-1 2. Sierra Leone (Chad Brown / Tyler Gaffalione) 3-1 3. Mystik Dan (Kenny McPeek / Brian Hernandez Jr.) 20-1 4. Catching Freedom (Brad Cox / Flavien Prat) 8-1 5. Catalytic (Saffie Joseph Jr. / Jose Ortiz) 30-1 6. Just Steel (D. Wayne Lukas / Keith Asmussen) 20-1 7. Honor Marie (Whit Beckman / Ben Curtis) 20-1 8. Just A Touch (Brad Cox / Florent Geroux) 10-1 9. Encino (Brad Cox / Axel Concepcion) 20-1 10. T O Password (Daisuke Takayanagi / Kazushi Kimura) 30-1 11. Forever Young (Yoshito Yahagi / Ryusei Sakai) 10-1 12. Track Phantom (Steve Asmussen / Joel Rosario) 20-1 13. West Saratoga (Larry Demeritte / Jesus Castanon ) 50-1 14. Endlessly (Michael McCarthy / Umberto Rispoli) 30-1 15. Domestic Product (Chad Brown / Irad Ortiz Jr.) 30-1 16. Grand Mo the First (Victor Barbosa Jr. / Emisael Jaramillo) 50-1 17. Fierceness (Todd Pletcher / John Velazquez) 5-2 18. Stronghold (Phil D’Amato / Antonio Fresu) 20-1 19. Resilience (Bill Mott / Junior Alvarado) 20-1 20. Society Man (Danny Gargan / Frankie Dettori) 50-1 21. (AE) Epic Ride (John Ennis / Adam Beschizza) 50-1 22. (AE) Mugatu (Jeff Engler / Joe Talamo) 50-1

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4.27.2024:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Saturday, April 27, 2024

EXTRA INCENTIVES Bet $100, Get $10 | Churchill Downs today 10X Wager Rewards Points | Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 April $20K Sweepstakes | win up to a $1,000 betting voucher TOURNAMENT TIME $40 Churchill Downs Feeder | details $500 Santa Anita Challenge | details 1/ST KENTUCKY DERBY WAGER GUIDE Free Access + Daily Updates SCHEDULE NOTES Preakness Future Wager Pool 2 | open through May 4 | Meet the Contenders Woodbine | opening day of 2024 season (1:10 pm ET) Churchill Downs | opening night of spring-summer meet (6 pm ET) | Shapiro Picks Kentucky Derby and Oaks Post Position Draw | tonight between Races 3-4 at Churchill Downs NOTABLE CARRYOVERS Mandatory Payout Pick 6 | $308,801 | Gulfstream Park | begins Race 6 | 3:38 pm ET | Olczyk Picks Mandatory Super Hi-5 | $214,595 | Woodbine Mohawk (harness) | Race 12 | 11:22 pm ET | Cimaglia PicksCOAST-TO-COAST PICK 5 Gulfstream Races 10,11 | Santa Anita Races 4,5,7 | Nicoletti & Siegel Picks 1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY GULFSTREAM MANDATORY PAYOUT PICK 6 WINNER Gulfstream Park | Race 9 | 5:20 pm ET | #2 Beth’s Dream (31%) KEY RACES | 1/ST Call Podcast with Siegel & Plonk Stakes Previews Aqueduct | Race 6 | 4:02 pm ET | Woodhaven Stakes Woodbine | Race 8 | 4:52 pm ET | Star Shoot Stakes Oaklawn | Race 8 | 5:20 pm ET | Bachelor Stakes Santa Anita | Race 4 | 5:30 pm ET | Kona Gold Stakes Oaklawn | Race 10 | 6:38 pm ET | Dig A Diamond Stakes Fonner Park | Race 9 | 6:40 pm ET | Bosselman / Gus Fonner Stakes Santa Anita | Race 9 | 8:08 pm ET | Royal Heroine Stakes Golden Gate Fields | Race 7 | 8:53 pm ET | San Francisco Mile | Race of Week Picks Charles Town | Race 7 | 10:02 pm ET | It’s Binn Too Long Stakes Churchill Downs | Race 9 | 10:46 pm ET | Roxelana Stakes LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Aqueduct | Race 8 | 5:04 pm ET Evangeline Downs | Race 1 | 6:30 pm ET Churchill Downs | Race 4 | 8:00 pm ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Anothony Farrior | Charles Town | 6 of 7 entrants 5-1 or less morning line DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Aqueduct | jockey Dylan Davis | 3 wins, 2 thirds from 7 mounts PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Eddie Olczyk: Gulfstream Park Mandatory Rainbow 6 Payout Hat Trick Best Bets Jeff Siegel: What You Need to Know + Prime Plays Video – Santa Anita | Saturday, April 27, 2024 Scott Shapiro: Churchill Downs Opening Night Full-Card Picks | Saturday, April 27, 2024 Race of the Week: San Francisco Mile at Golden Gate Fields Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Saturday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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