First Post:

1:30 pm ET

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$10 Money-Back Special on all races. Up to $10 back if your win bet finishes 2nd, 3rd when you play with Xpressbet or 1/ST BET

Featured Races:

Race 10 – $1 million Dueling Grounds Oaks

Race 11 – $1 million Dueling Grounds Derby

Race 12 - $500,000 Handicap

Betmix Stat of the Day:

Seven of the first 21 races at the 2023 Kentucky Downs meeting have been won by horses 10-1 or more odds with an average winner at 8.4-1 odds. Favorites are 6-for-21 (29%), which tracks identically with the last five years of local racing (93-324, 29%).

Jeremy’s Best Bets:

It was a brutal beat yesterday with 24-1 Stitched leading every call until losing by a half-length in the $2 million Mint Millions. Hopefully you got some exacta or place action.

Race 1 (1:30 pm ET)

#4 Smokey Smokey (7-2 ML)

Outdueled a 6-5 favorite for Wesley Ward in Saratoga 2-year-old turf sprint debut, but lost the war when second-best to rallying winner. Should carry speed the mile trip in second start based on pedigree and additional foundation. Lean to experience in these 2-year-old maiden races as 7 of 8 at meet (and over 75% historically) are won by horses with at least one prior start.

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Race 5 (3:41 pm ET)

#2 Love to Eat (8-1 ML)

Troubled start at Saratoga we can draw a line through the end result, it’s the debut third rally behind a 1-2 carousel that I like most about this filly. The runner-up in that Ellis race came back to whistle by nearly 4 lengths the next time. Daughter of sprint champ Mitole, who has turf winners at Colonial and Woodbine in limited starters since going to stud, Love to Eat’s dam was solid on both dirt and turf and won her third career start, the same form cycle we hit here. Like Race 1, a reminder: Lean to experience in these 2-year-old maiden races as 7 of 8 at meet (and over 75% historically) are won by horses with at least one prior start.

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Race 10 (6:28 pm ET)

#8 Flashy Gem (4-1 ML)

Respect the strong paces this one has been a part of at Canterbury and Ellis in her last two (:47, 1:10-2/5 in each) and how that will translate in the Dueling Grounds Oaks with her on or near the lead over a 1-5/16 miles trip most of these won’t want to go. Expect her to control the tempo and the outcome for a Corrales/Cox team that’s 34% wins and 54% in the exacta from 70 tandem starts.