by 1/ST BET
October 2, 2023
Monday’s Golden Gate Fields meet finale card includes a $69,893 carryover and mandatory payout in the pick six. To assist you on the sequence, here are the 1/ST BET Win Projections for each leg with a potential ticket construction based on the artificial intelligence. The pick six begins in Race 5 at 6:37 pm ET.
Horseplayers at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET can earn a $20 rebate when betting $100 or more on today’s 10-race card that begins at 4:45 pm ET.
Golden Gate Fields | Race 5 | starter stakes
#6 Mr Dreamcycle is the 9-5 morning line favorite and top Win Projection from 1/ST BET at 23%. But the Del Mar maiden breaker tries synthetic for the first time. #2 Alpine Sermon (6-1 ML) is next at 17% with #4 Coral Cat (10-1 ML) at 15% to add some prices.
Golden Gate Fields | Race 6 | claiming
Two horses separated themselves from the pack in the algorithm, #5 Torpedo Away (2-1 ML) at 25% and #3 Top Executive (7-2 ML) at 22%. Stick with the logical players, but since neither has run their best races locally, also consider #4 Cool Mountain Lad (5-1), who has a GGF win and last-out second, as well.
Golden Gate Fields | Race 7 | starter optional claimer
The 1/ST BET Win Projections are spread thin in this one. #8 Rijeka (10-1 ML) and #3 Ward N Jerry (5-1 ML) are very tepid 17% and 16% top picks. Three others (#2, #6, #9) cloud the picture between 11% and 13%, the latter being 2-1 morning line favorite #9 Il Capitano. Based on budget and ticket construction, tossing the favorite here and settling on the top two appears the best approach.
Golden Gate Fields | Race 8 | starter stakes
#8 Strange Addiction (3-1 ML) has a solid 5-point edge here at 23% to 18% over #9 Laura Branigan (6-1 ML). Both are coming off maiden-breaking wins and the latter’s local score is worth including on the ticket. There’s a wide gap to the rest in the AI here.
Golden Gate Fields | Race 9 | claiming
Similar to Race 7, there’s not a wide swath here in the numbers and could be a spread race to consider. #2 Riveting Spirit (4-1 ML) tops the field at just 18%, while price play #3 Dramatizer (12-1 ML) is right on her heels at 17%. Fellow longshots #1 Bestrella (15-1 ML) and #4 Busker Allie (12-1 ML) are right there at 14% and 12%. The 2-1 morning line favorite #6 Derrygoolin hits at only 10%, so the numbers suggest beating the chalk with the prices.
Golden Gate Fields | Race 10 | maiden claiming
#2 Upright (5-1 ML) at 19% and #5 You Enjoy Myself (9-5 ML favorite) at 18% are among only four runners in this nine-horse field to reach double-digit Win Projections. There’s not a wide gap to the other pair, #3 Playboy Style (3-1 ML) at 14% and #1 Son of Shanghai (5-1 ML) at 13%, but they don’t add any price opportunities and may cost more adding to the ticket than value they bring. Going four-deep in a nine-horse field with nothing over 5-1 ML is difficult to recommend.
The Ticket
6,2,4 with 5,3,4 with 8,3 with 8,9 with 2,3,1,4 with 2,5 = $57.60 for $.20 play