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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, October 27, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

October 27, 2024

Northfield Park has a 16-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, it has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Seven It Is (3-1)-Made its debut for the Oliverio barn in last after shipping in from the East coast. Hadn't raced in a few weeks, drew the 8-hole, and took the long way around. Aaron Merriman gets the nod and should be better in the 2nd start on the oval.
4-Hot Shave (4-1)-This 3-year-old could take a picture at a square price with an efficient trip. Has won 3 of 4 here and could be ready to top older. Cory Kreiser trainee should be racing at the top of the stack and be there at the wire.
7-Beautiful Lather (2-1)-The Lather Up 3-year-old doesn't get the best post draws but has enough gate speed to get the point or the 2-hole. Should be in play early and Ronnie Wrenn can work an effective trip and be in the hunt.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

1-Live And Let Di (5/2)-Beaten odds-on chalk should be on the point or in the pocket when the wings fold. Has won 8 of 23 this year and looks like a main player again.
5-Hill Of A Night (2-1)-Program chalk has won 2 straight, the last coming from the 8-hole versus this kind. Likes to take pictures and the win streak could continue with the right trip.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

3-Holi Starzzz A (9/2)-Faded down the lane versus straight FM Open company but was off for 3 weeks between starts.
Wrenn grabs the lines, that's a positive driver change, comes back in sequence and looks like a player at a square price.
9-Trick Of The Light (3-1)-Needs to get a few breaks but there is some gate speed inside and could come away with a decent seat. Tried to go gate to wire in last and missed by a neck. Can close in a hurry and is a player with a sharp steer.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

5-I'm A Beach Lady (8/5)-Winner in 10 of 29 races this year but has only taken 1 picture at Nfld. Recent winners are not in this field plus gets a ++ driver change in Aaron Merriman. He can muscle his way to the top and control the mile. Should be difficult to down with a smooth trip and won't offer any value.

$2.00 Late Pick 4

1,4,7/1,5/3,9/5
Total Bet=$24

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