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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, November 3, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

November 3, 2024

Northfield Park has a 16-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Always Choose Chip (7/2)-Moved up to this level, and raced well to finish 2nd leaving from the rail. Gets a post edge on other top foes, comes right back and Merriman sticks with the Rhoades entry. Should be in the hunt at the wire.
2-Think Of Galaxies (9/2)-Hunter Myers should be out and rolling when the wings fold. Does best when forwardly placed from the start and that can be the case tonight.
5-Bonitas Best Bet (5/2)-The Burke 2-year-old showed good speed at the Meadows and will be tested here against older. Will respect chances and hopefully won't be bet down.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

5-Big Limo (7/2)-Did get the lead in last after leaving from the 2nd tier but did fade down the lane. Should be in line to get the top without much trouble and could be tough to tackle.
6-Prince Charmer (7/2)-Left from post 8, was parked the mile and still raced evenly. The Burke 3-year-old will need a smooth trip and an aggressive steer. Does get a ++ driver change in Ronnie Wrenn between the pipes and that could be the winning difference.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

2-The Dragon Queen (5-1)-Will fade #1 the 8/5 choice and take a swing with this 4-year-old mare. Should offer a square price, and with an inside draw needs to be used.
6-Dudes Sweet Bet (6-1)-Drops, after having trouble cashing big checks when facing Open company. Lands in a more comfortable spot and can score at a big price if Chris Lems gets her in striking range.
8-Oh So Smooth (6-1)-This feels like a drop and pop situation. Burke goes with his top call driver Wrenn, and it is doubtful he will be taking back off the gate.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

2-Copacabana Hanover (6-1)-Missed by a neck last time and tonight Billy Davis Jr will steer in his 2nd straight appearance. Will look for another cozy trip and has won at this level. Can win here if the pilot uses his one good move at the right time.
9-Fear Of Moon Light (7/2)-Camera shy filly is often in the mix but doesn't seal the deal on a regular basis. Wrenn has driven in 4 races for the Kash barn, hasn't missed the board and has posted 2 wins. Should benefit from the early speed on the rail. Could take a picture with a smooth trip and the post draw helps the price.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

1,2,5/5,6/2,6,8/2,9
Total Bet=$36

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