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Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Early Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, November 23, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

November 23, 2024

Hawthorne Racecourse has a 10-race card. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 3, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.


Race 3 (7:50 PM CST)

2-Jewels For Champ (2-1)-Put in flat lines in 3 of the last 4 at Haw and a fast track should help the cause. The race probably goes through the Erv Miller pupil but needs to stay flat. Will assume breaking stride won't be a concern because the only recent miscue came on a sloppy track.
6-Pacific Roll (9/5)-My take is the morning line isn't right, and the 5-year-old shouldn't be favored. But this is the first time for Casey Leonard to take the lines and could work a live stalking trip. Should be within reach if #2 goes dancing.

Race 4 (8:10 PM CST)

2-Dialogue (1/1)-This 2-year-old is a cut above the rest and has his hit the board in 8 of 10 this year with 4 pictures. Comes off a big win on NOC in 152.2 with a 26.3 last panel and it wasn't the smoothest of trips. Should take care of this bunch at a tiny price.

Race 5 (8:30 PM CST)

1-Frontier Macho (5-1)-The Simmons trainee is improving but it is risky to use from the rail. Could make some noise at a solid price with an efficient trip if minds its manners.
5-Louise's Legacy (3/2)-The team Miller freshman has won 2 straight and the last was in a new lifetime mark (156.4). Doesn't need to be on the lead every step of the way to win but Marcus Miller could look to get on the engine here.
6-Sunburnt Silverado (3-1)-Went off as the even money chalk on NOC and broke stride at the start. The trainer sat behind him in last and put in a flat line. Casey Leonard, the usual pilot, returns but still should offer a fair price. Would need its best but could get the pocket and trip out.

Race 6 (8:50 PM CST)

4-Marvelous Mystery (9/2)-Came 2nd versus this kind in last and has won 8 of 10 at Stickney. Comes right back in sequence, should be a player and hopefully won't be over bet.
6-Loulita (3-1)-Landed in the pocket and could not catch a well-rated winner last time. Will fade the 9/5 choice #5 who has broken stride in the last 2 starts. This mare has won 6 of 15 in 2024 and should be in the hunt at the wire.

$2.00 Early Pick 4

2,6/2/1,5,6/4,6
Total Bet=$24

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