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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, November 24, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

November 24, 2024

Northfield Park has a 16-race card and the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (8:56 PM EST)

4-Stayingwiththewind (12-1)-Should offer a nice price as AMac takes the lines. Looking for an aggressive steer, and getting on the engine could be the game plan. It could be picture time if lands on the point easily, and works a soft quarter.
5-Majors Miracle (5/2)-Drops, has been facing Open company as Aaron Merriman gets the nod and could be bet down. Could be the winner with the right trip but not sure how easily this mare gets the top if she leaves.
7-Bonitas Best Bet (5-1)-Finished a good 2nd versus Open company off a wide trip in its Nfld debut. Gers a positive driver change in Ronnie Wrenn but has been off for 3-weeks. The 3-year-old should be able to stalk and rally late in the mile, if the Burke trainee is dialed on high facing older.

Race 12 (9:18 PM EST)

1-Natalie Hill (5/2)-The Linville barn has been hot and this 3-year-old filly is showing her best stuff late in the year. Has won 2-straight, and if the slow starter isn't compromised leaving from the rail good things could happen. Can roll by down the lane if Justin Irivine gets into striking range at the top of the last turn.
7-Go Go Lyla Jane (7-1)-Got on th engine in the last 2 starts, took a picture and then faded down the lane. Could get the top again or the 2-hole. The driver change to Billy Davis Jr shouldn't hurt and may get the jump on tougher foes.
9-Kant Katch Kenzie (2-1)-Last week, Hunter Meyers stepped on the gas pedal around the 3/4's pole and drew off to win by over 7 lengths. It was a nice battle for 2nd place but the Milner trainee was dominant. The 2nd tier makes it more complicated but is still the one to beat.

Race 13 (9:40 PM EST)

2-Get Answers (5/2)-Left from the 8-hole and was last at the 1st call but rallied late to cash a 4th place check. Now comes back in sequence, Wrenn sticks, draws inside and those are all positives.
7-Ribbon Ridge (12-1)-Will take a swing for a price and fade the 2-1 choice #5, who is 1st time Lasix and making its Nfld debut. AMac is in the bike and will expect to be in play when the gates fold. Raced better than the line looked in last and could be heard from at the wire with a sharp steer.

Race 14 (10:02 PM EST)

3-Tammie Sue (5/2)-This filly is consistently in the hunt and is tough to beat when has control of the mile. Chris Lems can land on the point with this post draw and should be tough to tackle.
7-Prince Charmer (3-1)-Has enough gate speed to land in a close-up seat and the Burke 3-year-old shouldn't feel out of place facing this crew. Should be racing at the top of the stack and could cash the top check if gets off the gate in good shape.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4,5,7/1,7,9/2,7/3,7
Total Bet=$36

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