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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Late Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, December 20, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

December 20, 2024

Cal Expo has a 12-race card, and the 0.20 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 8. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8 (9:05 PM PST)

7-Divine Art (6-1)-This mare put in a few starts and did well at Hawthorne after leaving Minny. Now comes to CalX where she has won 11 of 28 on this oval. Should benefit from recent races on a 1-mile track and this isn't a salty group.
8-Graceful Horizon (2-1)-The Roland trainee has done good work at CalX (16-8-2-3). Recently battled Open company at DD and Aces. Should be a main player but has been off a month. Will rely on the connections having the 6-year-old dialed on high coming off the bench.

Race 9 (9:25 PM PST)

7-Dancin Lance (5/2)-Hoosier invader has been a check casher at CalX (58-18-14-6). Its form was dull but has been on the shelf since 11-16. Should fit well, and this is a spot to wake up.
8-Unfiltered (7/2)-Raced well last week in the 1st start since 7-2 and cashed a 2nd place check. Should be the one to beat if gets a good steer from this post. Best to respect, has won 12 of 41 at CalX and raced wide much of the mile last time.

Race 10 (9:45 PM PST)

5-Major Offense (2-1)-Raced from the back last week and now drops to a spot to shine. This will be the 2nd race since 9-17 and could down this group. But is only 1-28 in 2024 and will offer no value.
7-Somepeopleneedtold (7/2)-Came the back half in 57.1 and charged home with the trainer aboard at 36-1 in its CalX debut. Steps up but Luke Plano is at the controls this time and could bring another big try in the 2nd start on the oval.

Race 11 (10:05 PM PST)

1-Daniel's Son (7/2)-There is a new trainer, Greg Watson who purchased the 5-year-old after winning on 12-13. Comes back versus the same kind and has the same pilot Jesse Pacheco between the pipes. This looks like an opportunity for the connections to get a good return at first asking.
4-Ragged But Right (6-1)-Lost some steam down the stretch last week but that was the first start since 9-17. Does well at CalX, has hit the board in 30 of 47 starts with 7 pictures. Jim Lackey should work a smoother journey and could win off a cozy trip.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

7,8/7,8/5,7/1,4
Total Bet=$16

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