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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Late Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, January 24, 2025

by Al Cimaglia

January 24, 2025

Cal Expo has a 9-race card with the 0.20 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 6. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (8:25 PM PST)

4-Ponda Hawk (12-1)-Broke after being used off the gate to land in the pocket but lost all chance late in the mile. Will look for a cozier trip here. The 0-18 record dating back to last year could end with a smooth journey.
5-AK UP N Attem (6-1)-Won on the engine and then didn't connect in a race with a slow first half. Should get off the gate in a more aggressive fashion and could be a sharp steer away from a picture
7-Frewil Dakota Sven (9/2)-Wins about as often the seasons change but has passed horses down the lane in the last 2 starts. Needs to get the right trip, and could reward backers at a solid price if that happens.

Race 7 (8:45 PM PST)

1-Alien Art Form (7/2)-The 4-year-old can pass foes down the lane and if in striking range at the top the of stretch good things could happen. Should get an efficient trip and has hit the board in 4 of 6 at CalX with two pictures.
2-Love To Flirt (10-1)-Camera shy 5-year-old does his best work at CalX. Has been in good form since shipping in from Aces. Has faced some well-meant winners and is worth a swing at the morning line price.
3-Semicolon (3-1)-Comes off an even effort, James Kennedy sticks and should enjoy the company. Using and will fade the program chalk, #6 Gandalf who has won 2 straight. Looking for an aggressive steer and the short field shouldn't hurt chances.

Race 8 (9:05 PM PST)

1-Always A Warrior (9/5)-Doesn't like to win but unless the trip is brutal or the pilot isn't sharp, the 6-year-old may have little choice but to beat this bunch. Got a cozy trip staying inside last week and rallied to lose by a neck. Should be able to have his way with this group at a small price and hopefully won't be over driven.

Race 9 (9:25 PM PST)

2-Apple Juice (5/2)-Has broken stride in 2 of the last 3, and in the race between was launched off the gate and had little left down the lane. Should improve with a ++ driver change to James Kennedy and can get a smoother journey tonight.
5-Southwind Molly (9/2)-Drops and lands in a comfortable spot. Jame Lackey should work an effective trip and be in striking range at the top of the lane. Worthy of a play, could offer value and has taken 3 pictures in 10 starts at CalX.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4,5,7/1,2,3/1/2,5
Total Bet=$18

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