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Frank Carulli: Keeneland Maker's Mark Mile Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, April 11, 2025

by Frank Carulli

April 10, 2025

A pair of 12-horse fields, sandwiched around a six-figure Maiden Special Weight sprint and the Grade I Maker’s Mark Mile Stakes, comprise an inviting Late Pick 4 at Keeneland this Friday. All it costs is 50 cents to play, or $61 if you invest in the suggested ticket below:

KEE 7th race (4:12 p.m. EST) -- A full field of 12 is scheduled to go post-ward in the $300,000 Limestone Stakes for 3-year-old fillies on the turf – and it mandates a deep Pick 4 punch. ABIENTOT sustained a strong 5-wide stretch rally to become the lone Grade III winner in the field when she last sprinted in the Matron Stakes at Belmont at The Big A two starts ago. She shortens up in distance but benefits from a much faster pace scenario. KILWIN made a 10th-to-1st move to beat ABIENTOT in a long sprint at Kentucky Downs but has the outside post to contend with in here. DREAMAWAY ‘cruised home in hand’ when she won the Colleen Stakes at Monmouth, but her speed will be tested in this spot and the rivals she defeated are 4-for-36 since that race. ME GOVERNOR was one of her opponents and is the most improved runner coming out of the Colleen. She pressed a fast pace while in-hand when she romped in a 5F allowance at Gulfstream Park, preceding her first stakes win. LAURICE should appreciate the extra half-furlong and adds value to the Pick 4 ticket with champion jockey Flavien Prat summoned to ride. SHISOSPICY blazed to a wire-to-wire victory in her first grass start at Gulfstream Park, earning the top turf speed figure of the bunch. IT AIN’T TWO, a Class 2 turf stakes winner during a busy freshman season in England, is working forwardly for her stateside debut off a five-month layoff.

KEE 8th race (4:44 p.m. EST) -- MEURSAULT ran into a traffic jam at the quarter pole and got up for third behind Fondly, who came back to win the Virginia Oaks. SURPRISE is firing bullet workouts for her debut, no surprise coming from the barn of reigning Eclipse Award trainer Brad Cox. Her sire, Good Magic ($2.9 million) won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and her dam, Devious Intent, was a runaway first-out winner, Grade III victor at one mile and first or second in 9 of 17 starts. SNOWYTE, runner-up in the Grade I Frizette as a 2-year-old, makes her seasonal debut off a bullet workout and gets Lasix for the first time. Watch the odds on OVERCOME ADVERSITY, who breezed 4F in 47 seconds at Churchill Downs recently and is out of the dam Worldly Heiress, whose offspring are 11/3-2-2 in their first year of racing.

KEE 9th race (5:16 p.m. EST) -- CARL SPACKLER seeks his third Grade I turf victory at the distance in the featured $650,000 Maker’s Mark Mile. He won the Grade I Turf Mile in his only start at Keeneland in October before runner-up More Than Looks turned the tables in the Breeders’ Cup. He posted four consecutive triple digit Beyer speed figures in the second half of his 4-year-old season. He hails from the barn of five-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer Chad Brown, who stands 94-for-423 (22 percent) the last 3 years with graded stakes turf returnees of 60 to 180 days off, showing a positive return on investment.

KEE 10th race (5:48 p.m. EST) -- IMPERIAL RULER gets Lasix and blinkers, shows a good series of workouts on dirt for his seasonal debut and looms a tempting price. ABUNDANCE lacked late kick behind the favorites on turf, exits MSW company and moves outside in with Irad Ortiz Jr. up for the first time. DIVER finished second in his last two starts on Turfway Park’s all-weather track, the latest against next-out allowance winner Spinning Pride (67 Beyer). FREEDOM MAKER shipped cross country, finished a troubled second to the deep-closing favorite in a turf-to-dirt mile, now runs for his cheapest tag yet.

Suggested 50-Cent Ticket
KEE 7th Race: 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12
KEE 8th Race: 2, 3, 4, 9
KEE 9th Race: 6
KEE 10th Race: 1, 4, 5, 10
Cost: $61