Log In

Scott Shapiro: Gulfstream $4.5M-Estimated Mandatory Payout Rainbow 6 for Sunday

by Scott Shapiro

April 13, 2025

After a nice two-day carryover at Keeneland on Friday, it is time for a massive one this afternoon in Hallandale Beach where there is a mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6. With $558,781 in carryover money, track officials are expecting the sequence that starts in Race 5 to reach $4.5M. Here is how I am attacking it.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Race 5:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 6 Mamuka; 5 Carnane
Backups: 9 Its Satisfactual; 1 Seekingbythestorm

Forecast: A challenging beaten claimer at two-turns on the sod kicks things off where I will opt to get some coverage. #6 Mamuka could find herself loose on the lead dropping in class for Jose Garoffalo. She gets back to the surface she earned her maiden victory over. #5 Carnane also makes a lot of sense. The Caravaggio filly was claimed by trainer Carlos Narvaez in late January and rewarded her high-percentage trainer right away with a win over the all-weather in early March. She is more than capable of winning right back. I will also use a couple as backups that have lacked the will to win, but could find their friends here.


Race 6:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 5 Oh Margot; 1 Reputation; 2 Tater Tot
Backups: None

Forecast: This MSW event for 3YO fillies going 6-furlongs over the main track is not much easier than the first leg. #1 Reputation is the 9-5-ML favorite. She ran into a buzzsaw in Rojo Rita on debut back in November and then was caught wide in a two-turn turf race during the Championship meet. This is the softest field she has encountered thus far. Of those with experience, she stands out, but I will also include a pair of first-time starters that could offer a bit of separation from the public.


Race 7:
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 1 Thought
Backups: None

Forecast: One of my stands comes in this open $12,500 claimer where #1 Thought takes a big drop in class for trainer Fernando Abreu after trying $50k claimers on March 9. The 8-time winner got off to a slow start that day and was caught wide on the backstretch before tiring in the end. With the lack of speed in here, jockey Miguel Vasquez should find a favorable forward position early and get the best of this group in the lane.



Race 8:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 9 Make Haste; 1 May Mischief
Backups: None

Forecast: #9 Make Haste is the understandable 2-1-choice on oddsmaker Brian Nadeau’s morning line after a challenging voyage along the inside in her Stateside debut on March 23. The Blue Point filly moves to an outside post, gets some class relief, and should move forward after shaking off the rust late last month. She is my top choice, but I like the upside as well of #1 May Mischief. The Maximus Mischief filly was dominant in her debut wire-to-wire win over the all-weather on March 5. She moves into the Saffie Joseph Jr. barn and could be dangerous on the surface switch.



Race 9:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 3 North End Lady; 6 Tape Runner
Backups: None

Forecast: I am not creative in this first-level allowance at 9-furlongs over the all-weather where I give the slight edge to 7-2-second choice #3 North End Lady over morning line favorite #6 Tape Runner. North End Lady shook off the rust last out in a similar spot where she was headstrong after not having raced since last September. She still managed a third-place effort at 10-1. Expect a move forward here for trainer David Fawkes. Tape Runner returns off the layoff for Victor Barboza Jr. Barboza is a strong 9 for his last 41 with a $1.93 ROI with runners making their first start in synthetic routes off a 60 to 180-day break. In other words, he is quite capable of having them ready to get the trip first off the layoff.



Race 10:
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 2 Wonderland
Backups: None

Forecast: I am hoping to get to the finale live to #2 Wonderland. The D J Stable filly makes her second start off the layoff after a prep going 5-furlongs over this turf course last month. The Mark Casse trainee disappointed in two starts going a route on the lawn as a two-year-old, but showed some ability and took quite a bit of live support against better competition than she encounters this afternoon. Hopefully we get a quality ground saving trip from her inside draw with veteran Joe Bravo jumping aboard for the first time.

Best of luck!!