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Frank Carulli: Santa Anita Hollywood Meet Opening Day Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, April 18, 2025

by Frank Carulli

April 17, 2025

Live racing returns to Santa Anita this week for the Hollywood Meet. The Friday, April 18 card features a 50-cent Late Pick 4 with a closer look and suggested $36 ticket below.

SA 6th race (6:39 p.m. EST) -- The 2-3-4 finishers from a February 28 mile under the same conditions reunite. SHARED FUTURE led by a nose in the final furlong but drifted inward and ran second, while JUBILANT JOANIE raced wide throughout and ran fourth as the 1-to-2 favorite. New shooter SEISMIC BEAUTY from the Bob Baffert barn also failed as an odds-on choice for a second time in a long sprint. QUICK BROWN FOX is the top choice, overcoming early trouble to break her maiden off an 11-month layoff for a 26-percent ‘repeat’ barn. That race was on the turf, but she has a photo-finish setback in her debut on the main track to summon and a string of five solid morning preps since then.

SA 7th race (7:09 p.m. EST) -- Speedball KISSED BY FIRE runs for an $80,000 claiming price, having already conquered this condition in wire-to-wire fashion the last two times she ran in non-stakes on turf. But she might have to find a passing gear with PUSHINESS (4-9, $292k) starting to her outside. If a torrid pace battle ensues, GRANNY BUDGIE could spring an upset. She won three 6F turf sprints overseas as a 2-year-old, rallied to win a $100,000 allowance on the Santa Anita lawn in her second U.S. start and ran into early stretch traffic last out when third behind next-out stakes runner-up Just Nails.

SA 8th race (7:39 p.m. EST) -- ZIMBA WARRIOR benefited from a rapid pace and overpowered the pace-setting favorite for a repeat victory at one mile. He also romped in his first start for trainer Jesus Uranga, giving him six wins at one mile that account for nearly half of his $313k bankroll. J.B. BOOKS is a viable longshot to use on the ticket. He was unsettled at the start, spotting the field several lengths, then he steadied in traffic while advancing in-hand on the backstretch. He swung widest on the turn and flattened out in the stretch. CROWN MAGIC negotiated post 10, made an eye-catching run on the turn and out-dueled a resurgent KINGMEISTER in a blanket finish. KINGMEISTER made a quick 3-wide move on the turn but couldn’t clear the leaders, setting the stage for the stretch battle.

SA 9th race (8:09 p.m. EST) -- FLYOVER debuts at age 4, but he has the bloodlines, work tab and connections to win. His sire, Om, was multiple Grade I-placed with $1.2 million in turf earnings; his dam, First Class Flyer, was a wire-to-wire Maiden Special Weight and allowance winner in her two starts on the grass. Trainer John Sadler has three wins and five seconds from his last 24 first-time starters on the lawn, half of whom were dismissed at 6-1 odds or less. Sadler used to train LORD DUNMORE, who looms a major threat from the rail for new trainer Ryan Hanson. He starts fresh off two strong workouts on the all-weather track and can maximize his speed in this field. He stumbled at the start and recovered to run second to wire-to-wire winner Targaryis, who came back to finish second in a $50,000 optional claimer. If CURLIN COMMAND (#9) draws in off the also-eligible list, add him to the Pick 4 ticket.

Suggested 50-Cent Ticket
SA 6th Race: 1, 3, 5
SA 7th Race: 2, 4, 5
SA 8th Race: 1, 2, 7, 9
SA 9th Race: 1, 2 (add #9 if he draws in)
Cost: $36