Log In

Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, April 26, 2025

by Al Cimaglia

April 26, 2025

Cal Expo had an 11-race card with the 0.20 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $25,000 pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8 (9:02 PM PDT)

3-Wind Me Up Blue (5-1)-Steps up after an efficient win and they went to the half in 103.2. Did roll the back half in 57.1 and could end up getting a similar ground saving trip this time.
8-The Minnesota Kid (1/1)-This is the winner unless the trip is bumpy and has an off night. This post draw stops me from singling, but many will. Should make it 3 straight unless leaving slowly is an issue and is too far back early.

Race 9 (9:22 PM PDT)

3-Reagan Blue Chip (5-1)-Found the water too deep in last when facing Open company. Drops to the level of its last win, which came 2 back. Likes to race near the top of the stack and that is a workable plan tonight.
4-Semicolon (3-1)-Winner of 3 straight has also won 6 of 19 at CalX and will be taking on better in this affair. Will look for an aggressive steer and to be on the point or in the pocket early on. Needs another big try but best to not overlook.

Race 10 (9:42 PM PDT)

1-Aston Hill Dave (3-1)-Steps up after finishing 2nd but did beat this kind back on 3-14. Needs an efficient trip and that can happen. Looks like a player and should offer a fair price.
5-Spartacus Bluechip (5/2)-Stayed inside after stepping up to this level and closed to finish 2nd. Should get a similar trip and Nick Roland could have in striking range down the lane.
7-Mystery Dragon (6-1)-This level has been a challenge but is worth a swing at the program price. Will look for Luke Plano to leave and this field isn't loaded with gate speed. Could surprise with a sharp start.

Race 11 (10:02 PM PDT)

1-River Lassena (12-1)-Has been racing wide and trying to grind it out. That doesn't seem to be the path to the winner's circle. The price shot has one big move and could use it here off a cozy trip.
3-Marced In Faith (2-1)-Beaten 4/5 chalk has been a bridesmaid in the last 2. Team Plano entry is a logical use at a small price.
7-Senorita Draco (5/2)-Cashed a 3rd place check last time versus a better field. Lands at the same level as its last win which came 2 back. Could beat this group but probably needs to be leading or in the pocket turning for the wire. John MacDonald steers and he should be out and rolling to land a close-up seat when the wings fold.

0.60 Late Pick 4

3,8/3,4/1,5,7/1,3,7
Total Bet=$21.60

Check me out on Twitter!