BIG BROWN ROLLS A ‘SEVEN’
Heavily-favored Big Brown drew post number seven for the Preakness Stakes Saturday and he’ll have a huge bull’s-eye on his back when the gates finally do open. Jockeys on either side of Kent Desormeaux know he’s riding the horse to beat and they will do what they can to make Big Brown and ‘Mo’ uncomfortable throughout the mile and three-sixteenths race.
Since Big Brown hasn’t had dirt in his face, been in the middle of a large field or had to overcome adversity in any of his four lifetime starts, foes figure the best way to beat the favorite is to force him to come from off the pace. Of course, any upset scenarios go out the window if Big Brown should break cleanly, go to the front and not look back. Is he good enough to make the Preakness another coronation?
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Race On!
On Track
’08 PREAKNESS ANALYSIS
Big Brown is strictly the one to beat in the Preakness. So, who don’t know that? The more relevant question is which horses will complete the exacta, tri and super. Don’t expect the box-car payoffs that the Derby produced because the pools aren’t nearly as large and this field has only 13 runners as compared to 20 in the Derby. However, there’s still some cash to be made if you have the right combination. If someone should defeat Big Brown, well, then the payoffs will be huge.
Suggested $1 Superfecta Play ($120)
First: 7
Second: 5, 8, 9, 10, 11
Third: 5, 8, 9, 10, 11
Fourth: 5, 8, 9, 10, 11
This one earned his starting position with an upset win in the Derby Trial going seven and one-half furlongs at Churchill Downs. His other wins—a first-level allowance score at Fair Grounds and a maiden race at Churchill—both came at seven furlongs or less. His only tries against top 3-year-olds going a distance of ground resulted in poor performances in the Le Comte at Fair Grounds and in the Lane’s End at Keeneland. From where we sit, he’s off the ticket because his last race was too strong to be repeated in short rest and because of distance concerns.
In Spanish the name means ‘three drunks,’ and if the equine Tres Borrachos is to stagger into the Pimlico winner’s circle on Preakness day, he’ll need to come up with a new cocktail mix than the one he’s been serving up so far this year. He has just one win in seven starts, but has been improving. His last race was a creditable third-place finish to Gayego and Z Fortune in the Arkansas Derby. Before that he was third in the El Camino Real Derby at Bay Meadows. Despite those two in-the-money performances, he didn’t have enough graded earnings to make the Derby starting lineup, so his connections pointed him toward the Preakness. We’ll have to make him beat us.
He’s the hometown favorite in here and locally-based runners have been know pull off an upset or two over the years. Actually, local runners have been more adept at finishing second at decent odds. ‘Crane has a chance to do something along those lines. He’s won three of four starts—two at Aqueduct and one right here at Pimlico in the Federico Tessio Stakes. In fact, he’s the only runner in the field with a win over this track. That’s got to count for something. Doesn’t it? His running style should find him back, off the pace in the Preakness. We’ll go against the home team on our tickets.
Once thought to be a legitimate Kentucky Derby runner, Yankee Bravo’s stock dropped after the Santa Anita Derby when he finished fourth to Colonel John. Blinkers were added that day to correct some drifting behavior that had surfaced in his previous race—the Louisiana Derby. A winner of his first three starts, including his maiden score in Great Britain on the turf, it doesn’t appear that Yankee Bravo has improved a great deal this year. His biggest win came in the California Derby at Golden Gate when he was much the best over a weak lot. It’s difficult to imagine his supporters cheering ‘Bravo’ after this Yankee’s performance in the Preakness, but he’s got the right style to pick up some dead meat in the lane. He hasn’t looked particularly good in the am at Pimlico.
If Behindatthebar plans to be infrontatthefinish of the Preakness, he’s going to have to step up his game a few notches. He’ll also need to show he can handle natural dirt as well as he’s glided over artificial surfaces. He has three wins and a close second—all on the fake stuff—and one off-the-board effort on natural dirt. He races from off the pace and has one of the game’s top trainers, Todd Pletcher, calling the shots. His rider is a capable journeyman in David Flores. If Behindatthebar fails to fire in the Preakness, one possible explanation could be: It’s the dirt, stupid. However, if he responds to dirt this time, he’s eligible to be there at the finish for a top trainer.
This guy lets his engine ‘idle’ for the first part of his races and doesn’t ‘open the throttle’ until very late. That style usually finds him with too much to do in the latter stages of his races—he’s been third or fourth in his last four races, all graded stakes. He’s also been held at contender’s odds in each of those races—less than 5-1--despite facing big fields in all but one of them (11, 11, 10, 7). Blinkers were added to his equipment two races back, but they don’t really seemed to have made much difference. Unless the Preakness early pace is unimaginably rapid, there’s not much chance of Racecar Rhapsody running everyone down. But, with a record like his, it’s hard not to include him in the three and four spots in tris or supers.
Unless you’ve been camping in the Australian Outback for the last few weeks, you probably already know plenty about Big Brown. He won the Kentucky Derby and will be odds-on to win the Preakness—second leg of the Triple Crown. No horse has swept Triple Crown trio since Affirmed in 1978. There are many theories as to why racing’s been in a Triple Crown drought, but the simplest explanation is the best: It’s a darn difficult thing to do.
Because the Triple Crown includes the following it is one of the great feats in modern sport:
A) Three races in five weeks
B) Against the best available competition (including fresh faces)
C) At three tracks over different surfaces and configurations
D) At distances from one mile and three-sixteenths to one mile and one-half
An additional seldom-appreciated angle as to why the Triple Crown is so unattainable is that in order to win all three a horse obviously has to win the first one—the Kentucky Derby. And getting a horse ready to win the Derby is a feat unto itself. So, if a horse has to be at 100% to win the Kentucky Derby, where does he go from there? Two weeks after a grueling mile and one-quarter win in Louisville it’s difficult to expect a runner to be at the very top of his game again. And then, three weeks later, that same horse has to be at his best for a mile and one-half test at Belmont. All the while, a Triple Crown hopeful is meeting fresh horses in each leg. No wonder we haven’t had a Triple Crown winner in 30 years.
Of course, the consensus going into the Preakness is that Big Brown will mow down the opposition. As they say on TV: Stay tuned.
With just three lifetime starts Kentucky Bear is the most inexperienced runner in the field. ‘Bear first appeared on the scene with a strong six and one-half length win in his maiden race. He didn’t fare nearly as well in the Fountain of Youth, where he finished seventh. With some time off he was able to run evenly when third in the Blue Grass. The ‘Bear has some talent and was training well in Kentucky before the Derby. He’d be a pretty big surprise on the ‘win’ end in Baltimore, and so would anyone else, but he’s got a chance to be in the thick of things with some slight improvement.
Trainer Nick Zito knows what kind of horse it takes to win the Preakness Stakes and New York Nick thinks this one has the goods. If that’s the case, Stevil has kept that fact buried since he won the first race of his six-event career at Belmont in October. To be fair, Stevil has had some rough trips in his last two races when blinkers were added. He finished fifth to Pyro in the Louisiana Derby at odds of 95-1 and fourth to Monba in the Blue Grass at 68-1. He could be a big price again in the Preakness and, although it’s difficult to imagine him winning the race, he could be used in exotic wagers as one to pick up some pieces down the lane.
Riley Tucker has decent form on artificial and natural surfaces. The negative is that he only has one win in seven starts—a maiden score first time out at Belmont in July. He did manage to just miss in second place to Wicked Style in the Arlington Washington Futurity in September and to Boss Lafitte in the Transylvania Stakes in April. Riley Tucker was third, beaten less than two lengths to Behindatthebar in the Lexington—a perfect example of how his young career has gone. He’s got a nice running style that should have him positioned around fourth or fifth in the early going and, since he doesn’t give up, he should be there or thereabouts at the finish. We don’t like him to upset Big Brown, but he seems an outside candidate to hit the board.
He began his racing career like a house afire, winning his first four starts. Three of those were against fellow New York-breds, so the jury was out on this one until he won the Count Fleet at Aqueduct against open company. He then finished last in the sloppy, foggy Gotham and later came back to finish fourth to Tale of Ekati (fifth in the Derby) in the Wood. Early in his career he showed speed, but raced mid-pack in his last start. A return to his early form would help his chances, but in a game of ‘what have you done lately’ he seems to be an outsider. Limit him to exotics.
He joined the Preakness party late—right after it was announced that Harlem Rocker wouldn’t run. Besides earning him a bunch of frequent-flier miles, Gayego’s return trip to Maryland from California probably isn’t a plus. His trainer says Gayego’s doing well. No word directly from Gayego on that topic. A repeat of his Arkansas Derby score puts him in the mix, big-time, but another poor performance like the one he served up in the Derby (17th) will mean a wasted trip back east. Gayego has speed and should be racing on or near the lead in the Preakness. That will be a plus as there doesn’t seem to be a whole lot of pace in the race. It’s tough to expect him to bounce back from his poor Derby effort in here. We’ll pass on him.
Here’s a fellow with a wealth of experience. He’s made eight starts—tied with Macho Again for most previous outings in the field. He’s won four of those and had two seconds, so you know he’s consistent. He won the Holy Bull at Gulfstream against a weak bunch, and has two allowance wins and a maiden score to his credit. Big Brown beat him by over 15 lengths in the Florida Derby. ‘Byrn doesn’t seem quite talented enough to win this race, but an in-the-money finish isn’t that far-fetched. He ships into Maryland from Florida and should at least be happy to get out of the heat. The 13-hole won’t help his chances and he hasn’t looked great at Pimlico in the morning.
It's Post Time
TRIPLE CROWN WEIGHTS TOO HIGH
The outcry following the tragic death of Kentucky Derby starter Eight Belles certainly is not surprising. Predictably, it has become a big-time detraction from Big Brown’s big Kentucky Derby performance. Moreover, it has ignited some harsh criticism of horse racing, most especially from People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals, an organization better known as PETA.
Randy Moss at ESPN.com characterized Eight Belles’ death as the most tragic event in the 134-year history of the Kentucky Derby.
“But,” Moss added, “it is not a tragedy on the scale of [the] cyclone in Myanamar or even the thousands of children abused daily. Jockey Gabriel Saez was not at fault, and Thoroughbred racing does not rank alongside bullfighting and dog fighting on the animal cruelty index.”
However, Moss also wrote that perspective cuts both ways.
“Pretending the Eight Belles breakdown happened in the third race at Charles Town and ignoring the sport’s problems would be as foolish as PETA’s call to abolish racing entirely,” Moss wrote. “This time, post-Derby calls for reform cannot be dismissed as knee-jerk responses from do-gooders prone to overreaction. Dr. Larry Bramlage, one of the country’s preeminent equine veterinarians, told the Wall Street Journal that racing is at a ‘crisis state.’ ”
If racing is indeed at a “crisis state,” I have a suggestion that, without question, would be helpful to all of the Thoroughbreds who compete in the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes.
Right now, males are asked to carry 126 pounds and fillies 121 in the three Triple Crown races. I once again propose lowering the weights for those three races to 121 pounds for males and 116 for fillies. It’s a proposal I initially made a year ago.
Nearly everyone agrees that the Thoroughbred of today is more fragile than was the case years ago. Yet we continue to ask 3-year-old males to carry 126 pounds in the Triple Crown events. I think that’s absurd.
“U.S. horses are much less durable than they used to be, and they are less durable than their counterparts in other countries,” Andrew Beyer of The Washington Post wrote this week.
If what Beyer wrote is true, then why doesn’t racing at the very least help these supposedly less durable horses by requiring them to carry less weight in all three Triple Crown events? If male horses all carry the same weight, what difference does it make if it’s 121 pounds instead of 126, other than to help them by lessening their burden?
While the powers that be argue about such issues as track surfaces, medication and breeding practices, the sport can do something as quickly as 2009 to help those horses who run in the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont by lowering the weight they must carry by five pounds each.
Some might say, what’s the big deal? Does weight really matter? For the most part these days, weight in racing doesn’t matter. But I can tell you that weight can matter in certain situations. On a number of occasions, I have actually seen a horse labor from the burden of the weight being carried when it was more than 130 pounds.
Heck, just try carrying your suitcase from the baggage claim area at an airport all the way to your car. I’m sure you would agree that the lighter the suitcase weighs, the better. That’s why I think of how great it is to have my suitcase on wheels instead of having to carry it.
Why do I advocate reducing the weight for male horses in the three Triple Crown races to 121 pounds and not any lower? If you start going too low, many, if not most, contemporary jockeys would be unable to ride because they would be too heavy. But this really is not an issue at 121 pounds for male horses and 116 for fillies.
In recent years, there certainly has not been any resistance on the part of racing secretaries to reduce the weights in handicap races. They have done so to such an extent that they have made a mockery of handicap racing in this country. Handicap racing had become a joke at Woodbine, too, so much so that last year they decided to do away with handicap races completely. Take a look at the 2008 Woodbine stakes schedule. You will not find a single handicap race.
Could you imagine any 2-year-old these days carrying the sort of weight Man o’ War did as a 2-year-old in 1919? He carried 130 pounds six times as a 2-year-old.
As a 3-year-old, Man o’ War won the Potomac Handicap under a staggering 138 pounds. According to William H.P. Robertson in “The History of Thoroughbred Racing in America,” Samuel Riddle, the owner of Man o’ War, asked racing secretary Walter Vosburgh how much weight he would put on Man o’ War if he continued to race at 4. While Vosburgh would not provide a specific answer, he assured Riddle that he would assign Man o’ War more than he had ever put on any horse before. Since Man o’ War already had carried 138 pounds as a 3-year-old, Riddle decided to retire the great colt instead of having him “carry the grandstand” as a 4-year-old.
How about Round Table? He carried 130 pounds or more 25 times. He won the 1959 United Nations Handicap on the turf while shouldering 136 pounds.
Kelso, a five-time Horse of the Year in the 1960s, carried 130 pounds or more 24 times. He twice won under 136 pounds (once in the 1961 Brooklyn Handicap, the other time in a 1964 handicap race at Aqueduct).
In the final start of Dr. Fager’s career, he packed 139 pounds and won the 1969 Vosburgh Handicap.
Ta Wee, a half-sister to Dr. Fager, won the 1970 Fall Highweight Handicap while carrying 140 pounds. And then, in the final start of her career, she carried 142 and won the 1970 Interborough Handicap.
Also in 1970, I was in attendance to see my all-time favorite horse, Turbulator, win a handicap race at Playfair by two lengths under 134 pounds. In his next start, he was asked to pack 138 pounds in the Playfair Mile, a race he lost by a neck.
Forego carried 130 pounds or more 24 times. He packed 137 pounds when victorious in the 1976 Marlboro Cup Handicap.
In the 1980s, however, John Henry played a significant role in changing the dynamic of handicap racing in this country. Because John Henry became so immensely popular, tracks from coast to coast desperately wanted him. A John Henry appearance meant an automatic spike in attendance. Cognizant of this, John Henry’s trainer, Ron McAnally, made it clear to racing secretaries -- and track management -- that the lower the weight assigned to John Henry, the better chance a track had to get him. Thus, unlike Kelso and Forego, John Henry carried 130 pounds only three times. Not once did John Henry carry more than 130.
I believe keeping the weight off John Henry was a major reason why he was still so effective late in his career that he was voted Horse of the Year at the age of 9.
The feeling here is it would be similarly helpful to ask 3-year-olds to carry less weight in the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont.
Some might argue that the weights in the three Triple Crown races should not be changed out of respect for tradition. But that’s a bogus argument because horses have not always carried 126 pounds in the three races.
The inaugural Kentucky Derby in 1875 had 15 starters. Aristides (the winner) and 12 others carried 100 pounds, while Ascension and Gold Mine shouldered 97 each.
Survivor, winner of the first Preakness in 1873, carried 110 pounds.
Ruthless won the first Belmont in 1867 while carrying 107 pounds. She defeated three males, who each raced with 110 pounds.
The Kentucky Derby was run 45 times before all colts and geldings were asked to carry 126 pounds for the first time in 1920.
The Preakness was held 49 times before 126 pounds became the standard weight for colts and geldings in 1925.
The Belmont was run 33 times before its male contestants were all asked to carry 126 pounds.
So the weights for the Triple Crown races are not etched in stone. Let’s change it to 121 pounds for male horses in 2009. Please.
PREAKNESS PICTURE
I will be shocked if Big Brown does not deliver a win in Saturday’s Preakness Stakes, especially without Stronach Stables’ Harlem Rocker in the race. Secretariat was a 3-10 favorite in the wagering when he won the 1973 Preakness. I expect to see Big Brown a shorter price than that. There’s even a possibility, I think, that Big Brown’s odds could go as low as 1-10, which would match the record set by Citation in 1948 and tied by Spectacular Bid in 1979.
When it was announced Monday that undefeated Withers Stakes winner Harlem Rocker would not participate in the Preakness, that helps Big Brown’s chances considerably, in my opinion. As I had stated a number of times on HRTV, I considered Harlem Rocker to be the main threat to Big Brown.
Harlem Rocker would have gone into Saturday’s race with an even better record than Bernardini’s before he won the 2006 Preakness. Bernardini earned a 68 Beyer Speed Figure when unveiled at Gulfstream Park before earning a 90 in a one-mile maiden special weight race there and a 104 when he took the Withers Stakes at Aqueduct.
Harlem Rocker earned an 81 Beyer Speed Figure when unveiled at Gulfstream Park before earning a 97 in a one-mile allowance race there and a 106 when he took the Withers at Aqueduct.
However, according to trainer Todd Pletcher, instead of Harlem Rocker running in the Preakness, his next main goal will be the Queen’s Plate at Woodbine on June 22, a race restricted to Canadian-breds. Sam Nishi, who told me that he has a minority ownership interest in Harlem Rocker, said the Macho Uno colt probably is going to run next in either the Grade II Ohio Derby at Thistledown on May 31 or in the Plate Trial at Woodbine on June 1.
“I’m happy he’s out,” Dutrow was quoted as saying Monday in a Daily Racing Form story when he was informed Harlem Rocker would not be running in the Preakness. “How could I not be happy about it?”
It also helps Big Brown that Illinois Derby winner Recapturetheglory, fifth in the Kentucky Derby, will miss the Preakness due to a high temperature. Not only would Recapturetheglory have added some quality to the Preakness field, he likely would have been a pace factor. His absence should soften the early tempo to some extent, which figures to help Big Brown.
Without Harlem Rocker and Recapturetheglory, only three graded stakes winners -- Gayego, Behindatthebar and Hey Byrn -- are scheduled to face Big Brown in the Preakness. (Note: This column was written prior to the announcement of Preakness entries and the post position draw.)
At this writing, Big Brown and Gayego were the only two from the 20 starters in the Kentucky Derby scheduled to run in the Preakness. According to Tuesday’s Preakness notes, the last time only two Kentucky Derby starters ran in the Preakness was 1980. Genuine Risk won the roses that year, with Jaklin Klugman third.
Neither Genuine Risk nor Jaklin Klugman won the Preakness. Codex, who was not eligible to run in the Kentucky Derby because he had not been nominated back when horses could not be made eligible through a supplementary payment, took one of the most controversial editions of the Preakness to become trainer D. Wayne Lukas’ first winner in a Triple Crown race. Genuine Risk, carried wide into the stretch by Codex, finished second, with Jaklin Klugman fourth.
Genuine Risk then finished second to Temperence Hill in the Belmont Stakes. So, in addition to becoming the first filly since Regret in 1915 to win the Kentucky Derby, Genuine Risk proved that she was truly one of the best fillies in history by finishing second in the other two legs of the Triple Crown.
It looks to me like Gayego now becomes the main threat to Big Brown in the Preakness. Gayego finished 17th after a sluggish start seriously compromised his chances in the Kentucky Derby. He earned only a 55 Beyer Speed Figure in the Run for the Roses, but previously had posted triple-digit Beyers in the Arkansas Derby (103) and San Pedro Stakes at Santa Anita (102).
No one else slated to run in this year’s Preakness other than Big Brown and Gayego has ever earned a triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure.
Another plus for Gayego is history tells us the Preakness winner will be either Big Brown or Gayego due to the vast majority of Preakness winners coming out of the Kentucky Derby. The Preakness winner rarely is a so-called new shooter.
Deputed Testamony won the 1983 Preakness without having competed in the Kentucky Derby. Since then, the only other Preakness winners who didn’t start in the Derby were Red Bullet in 2000 and Bernardini in 2006.
As I wrote last week, about the only way I can picture someone other than Big Brown winning the Preakness is if he were to give everyone else a five-length head start and carry two jockeys instead of one. And even then I’m not sure that would be enough to derail Big Brown in Baltimore.
I’m looking for Big Brown to win the Preakness and head to the Belmont Stakes with a chance to quench racing’s thirst for a Triple Crown winner and end the drought since Affirmed in 1978.
If Big Brown does win the Preakness, lurking in New York to face him in the Belmont is Casino Drive, who was discussed in last week’s column prior to his smashing U.S. debut.
Making only his second career start, Casino Drive, a $950,000 Keeneland yearling purchase, overcame a slow start to win last Saturday’s Grade II Peter Pan Stakes by nearly six lengths while earning a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. It was the first race for the Kentucky-bred Mineshaft colt since he won his career debut by 11 1/2 lengths in Japan on Feb. 23.
Casino Drive’s dam, Better Than Honour, has produced the last two Belmont winners in Jazil (by Seeking the Gold) and Rags to Riches (by A.P. Indy). Casino Drive is to make his next start in the Belmont, giving Better Than Honour a chance of producing three consecutive Belmont winners. As I wrote last week, if that were to happen, it would be, without question, one of the greatest achievements in Thoroughbred racing -- and breeding -- history. In my eyes, it would trump trainer Woody Stephens’ incredible run of saddling five straight Belmont winners because a Thoroughbred broodmare produces only one foal per year (with the rare exception of twins), whereas Stevens was conditioning a large number of horses each year he won the Belmont.
My HRTV colleague Jeff Siegel said last week that the odds of a broodmare producing three straight Belmont winners would have to be something like “a billion to one.” And now, after the Peter Pan, Casino Drive is closer to making that happen.
Kent Desormeaux, who won the Kentucky Derby aboard Big Brown, was Casino Drive’s Peter Pan pilot. Desormeaux, of course, hopes to be going for the Triple Crown with Big Brown in the June 7 Belmont. He recognizes that Casino Drive could prove a worthy opponent.
“Yeah, he can run a lot,” Desormeaux said of Casino Drive after the Peter Pan. “It’s going to be fun. He’s a phenomenal talent, and we’ve got our hands full with this one.”
After the Peter Pan, according to Daily Racing Form’s David Grening, Desormeaux spotted his agent, Mike Sellito, and said: “There’s your competition [for the Belmont] buddy, wooo!”
Nobutaka Tada, managing director for Casino Drive’s owner, Japanese business executive Hidetoshi Yamamoto, said: “Today, he proved his ability. He had so much to overcome -- only one race, more than a two-month layoff, a long trip and quarantine. Now, we have three weeks to go to the Belmont Stakes and he has three weeks to improve. And he has so much potential to improve.”
Desormeaux mentioned how impressed he was with Casino Drive’s stride. The Hall of Fame rider also said he could “certainly understand how Jazil and Rags to Riches won the Belmont.”
And now we will see if Casino Drive can follow in the footsteps of Jazil and Rags to Riches.
CORRECTIONS
In last week’s column, I wrote that “Big Brown was one of five starters in this year’s Derby with two preps” at 3. I listed Tale of Ekati (who finished fourth), Recapturetheglory (fifth), Colonel John (sixth) and Monba (20th) in addition to Big Brown.
I omitted Court Vision, who likewise went into the Kentucky Derby with two preps at 3. Jim Tierney of Connecticut e-mailed to point that out. Thanks, Jim.
Also in last week’s column, I wrote that “the folks at Delta Downs were rooting for Z Humor” in the Kentucky Derby because he had finished in a dead heat for first in the Grade III, $1 million Delta Jackpot at that track late last year. I also wrote that “Z Humor ran 14th in the Kentucky Derby, but he did manage to defeat Cool Coal Man (winner of the Grade II Fountain of Youth Stakes), Bob Black Jack (winner of the Grade I Santa Anita Derby), Gayego (winner of the Grade I Arkansas Derby), Big Truck (winner of the Grade III Tampa Bay Derby), Adriano (winner of the Grade II Lane’s End Stakes) and Monba (winner of the Grade I Blue Grass Stakes).”
Don Stevens, the track announcer at Delta Downs, e-mailed to point out that Bob Black Jack finished second, not first, in the Santa Anita Derby. Colonel John, of course, won the Santa Anita Derby. Thanks, Don.
By the way, the folks at Delta Downs now would like to see Racecar Rhapsody run well in the Preakness. Racecar Rhapsody, trained by Ken McPeek, finished fourth in the Delta Jackpot last year.
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